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Animal Trainer

A case on GGDROP (event), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$0.65
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $0.60 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
158.38%
13.5K openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
169.69%±4.521,552 openings
7 days
158.51%±1.6012.2K openings
30 days
158.38%±1.5213.5K openings
since tracking started
158.38%±1.5213.5K openings
91.5%133.3%175.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.04% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (156.86% – 159.90%, 13,522 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,552169.69%±4.52+33.7σodds
7d12.2K158.51%±1.60+81.6σodds
30d13.5K158.38%±1.52+85.7σodds
All13.5K158.38%±1.52+85.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$6.440.2%32.01.48×
MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 5,263$5.920.2%32.61.17×
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted1 in 7,143$5.050.1%41.92.11×
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 7,692$4.750.1%41.82.28×
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 6,250$4.620.1%12.20.46×
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 5,000$4.590.2%62.72.22×
P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 7,143$4.530.1%51.92.64×
P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 7,692$4.410.1%31.81.71×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 7,143$3.930.1%41.92.11×
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 6,250$3.680.1%52.22.31×
Sticker | Taste Buddy (Holo)sticker · #8847ff1 in 9,091$3.540.1%41.52.69×
P90 | Virus (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 7,143$3.140.1%201.910.56×
Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 5,556$2.760.1%192.47.81×
MAC-10 | Heat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$2.670.1%731.644.99×
Sticker | Salty (Holo)sticker · remarkable1 in 116$2.573.7%80116.20.69×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 216$2.331.8%16162.72.57×
Charm | Magmatudecharm · violet1 in 833$2.110.4%25116.215.47×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 56$2.056.1%286241.01.19×
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon1 in 81$1.954.0%381167.42.28×
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 66$1.824.6%407205.41.98×
Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 58$1.805.2%480231.82.07×
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 46$1.636.0%724297.02.44×
M4A1-S | Liquidation (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 39$1.496.3%710343.62.07×
Sticker | Skull Bunny (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff1 in 32$1.065.5%1,067421.42.53×
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear)weapon · 31 in 23$0.987.2%1,218597.72.04×
FAMAS | Corp Defense (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 21$0.957.7%1,281656.91.95×
M4A1-S | Electrum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 17$0.929.2%1,515805.01.88×
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 18$0.646.1%1,471765.91.92×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 13$0.425.2%2,0201008.82.00×
PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 11$0.274.1%01216.10.00×
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue11.5%$0.265.0%1,3171550.10.85×
Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Factory New)weapon · common11.3%$0.193.6%01524.70.00×
Sticker | High Five! (Glitter)sticker · Mythical1 in 11$0.182.8%01249.50.00×
Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d91 in 15$0.171.9%0901.70.00×
UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 12$0.152.1%01115.40.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/animal-trainer, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueReal-Punisher$0.65$0.430.66x
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted❦حب المال♂$0.65$0.640.98x
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · bluemekthereal$0.65$0.430.66x
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedmekthereal$0.65$0.640.98x
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · bluemekthereal$0.65$0.430.66x
Sticker | Skull Bunny (Glitter)sticker · #8847ffno4ort$0.65$1.021.57x
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueno4ort$0.65$0.430.66x
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear)weapon · 3no4ort$0.65$0.981.51x
Sticker | Skull Bunny (Glitter)sticker · #8847ffMonTesCZ88$0.65$1.021.57x
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueCJ_1312$0.65$0.430.66x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$0.6592.00%35
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$0.6592.10%35
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$0.6592.00%35
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$0.6592.09%35
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$0.6592.08%35
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$0.6592.06%35
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$0.6592.06%35
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$0.6592.10%35
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$0.6592.03%35
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$0.6592.01%35
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$0.6592.00%35
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$0.6592.00%35
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$0.6592.00%35
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$0.6592.00%35
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$0.6592.07%35
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$0.6592.00%35
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$0.6592.05%35
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$0.6592.06%35
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$0.6592.09%35
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$0.6592.00%35
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$0.6592.00%35
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$0.6592.00%35
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$0.6592.04%35
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$0.6592.07%35
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$0.6592.09%35
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$0.6592.04%35
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$0.6592.01%35
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$0.6592.04%35
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$0.6592.00%35
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$0.6592.00%35
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 4.4%classified 0.0%Restricted 1.8%pink 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%Mythical 13.2%milspec 0.0%#8847ff 3.1%restricted 14.2%violet 2.1%remarkable 0.9%uncommon 1.2%industrial 4.9%blue 27.9%common 11.3%#b0c3d9 6.7%#4b69ff 8.2%best hit —