Coca Cola

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$1.79
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $1.65 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.29%
3,005 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.99%±6.99530 openings
7 days
89.99%±3.142,566 openings
30 days
90.29%±2.903,005 openings
since tracking started
90.29%±2.903,005 openings
83.5%91.0%98.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h53090.99%±6.99−0.3σodds
7d2,56689.99%±3.14−1.2σodds
30d3,00590.29%±2.90−1.1σodds
All3,00590.29%±2.90−1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,005 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 241$7.391.9%1712.51.36×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 185$6.752.2%1716.31.05×
Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 282$6.181.3%1310.61.22×
MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 279$5.921.3%1510.81.39×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 181$5.811.9%816.60.48×
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 249$5.791.4%1312.11.08×
MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 465$5.760.8%106.51.55×
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 529$5.580.6%75.71.23×
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified1 in 332$5.271.0%99.01.00×
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 183$5.071.7%1016.40.61×
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 200$4.931.5%715.00.47×
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 143$4.932.1%1721.00.81×
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 144$4.762.0%1220.90.57×
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 699$4.750.4%124.32.79×
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 463$4.620.6%96.51.39×
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 228$4.591.2%713.20.53×
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 332$4.550.8%89.00.88×
CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 444$4.500.6%96.81.33×
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 450$4.360.6%126.71.80×
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified1 in 153$4.351.7%1119.60.56×
M4A1-S | Solitude (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 350$4.280.7%58.60.58×
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 235$4.231.1%1612.81.25×
P250 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 243$4.121.0%1012.40.81×
AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 207$4.021.2%1114.50.76×
SG 553 | Integrale (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 160$3.931.5%1518.80.80×
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 205$3.841.1%1314.60.89×
SG 553 | Integrale (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 197$3.821.2%915.30.59×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 154$3.631.4%819.50.41×
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 144$3.581.5%2020.90.96×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 152$3.511.4%1819.70.91×
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 110$3.451.9%2327.30.84×
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 126$3.361.6%3723.81.56×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 82$3.332.5%2736.80.73×
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 94$3.322.1%1232.00.37×
P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 78$3.062.4%5738.31.49×
Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified1 in 58$2.492.6%3852.00.73×
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet1 in 63$2.332.2%6947.61.45×
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 41$2.253.4%7673.81.03×
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 47$2.252.9%6764.31.04×
XM1014 | Solitude (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 47$2.242.9%8164.41.26×
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 47$2.092.7%5264.50.81×
StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · violet1 in 52$1.631.9%10058.11.72×
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 35$1.442.5%8886.81.01×
P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 29$1.382.9%85104.90.81×
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 28$1.302.8%107106.81.00×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 36$1.232.1%11883.71.41×
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 45$1.221.6%9866.21.48×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 40$1.131.7%6375.20.84×
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 39$0.931.4%8276.31.07×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 39$0.861.3%10876.91.41×
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 38$0.861.4%4678.20.59×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 32$0.821.6%8294.50.87×
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 33$0.791.5%7492.40.80×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 45$0.731.0%11467.21.70×
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 44$0.731.0%4767.70.69×
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 40$0.661.0%8574.41.14×
PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 36$0.631.0%7282.40.87×
PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 31$0.621.2%9796.31.01×
USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 27$0.571.3%114112.41.01×
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 25$0.541.3%119122.60.97×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 22$0.491.4%105139.00.76×
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 19$0.441.4%176154.11.14×
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 18$0.431.5%138167.70.82×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/coca-cola, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$1.7992.00%63
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$1.7991.96%63
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$1.7992.00%63
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$1.7991.94%63
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$1.7992.00%63
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$1.7991.97%63
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$1.7991.90%63
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$1.7991.94%63
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$1.7992.00%63
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$1.7991.95%63
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$1.7991.95%63
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$1.7992.00%63
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$1.7992.00%63
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$1.7991.96%63
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$1.7991.93%63
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$1.7992.00%63
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$1.7991.94%63
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$1.7992.00%63
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$1.7991.99%63
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$1.7992.00%63
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$1.7992.00%63
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$1.7991.96%63
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$1.7991.97%63
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$1.7992.00%63
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$1.7991.99%63
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$1.7992.00%63
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$1.7991.95%63
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$1.7991.93%63
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$1.7991.91%63
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$1.7991.94%63
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 25.5%classified 8.2%Classified 2.7%Legendary 1.7%uncommon 0.7%pink 11.3%#d32ee6 0.7%Mythical 8.8%violet 24.4%#8847ff 12.8%Restricted 3.1%best hit —