Eco case

A case on GGDROP (bum), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price

$0.49

Advertised RTP

92.00%

EV $0.45 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d

126.67%

990 openings, odds method

Variance

1.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

21.6%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

90 openings · below min

7 days

127.10%±6.78881 openings

30 days

126.67%±6.43990 openings

since tracking started

126.67%±6.43990 openings

91.5%114.8%138.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.03% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (120.24% – 133.10%, 990 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	90	116.37%±21.1	—	odds
7d	881	127.10%±6.78	+10.1σ	odds
30d	990	126.67%±6.43	+10.6σ	odds
All	990	126.67%±6.43	+10.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 990 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$12.49	0.5%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$8.96	0.3%	0	0.1	—
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 10,000	$7.51	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,263	$6.47	0.3%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 5,000	$4.76	0.2%	0	0.2	—
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 529	$3.57	1.5%	5	1.9	2.67×
P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 8,333	$3.47	0.1%	1	0.1	—
USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 358	$3.44	2.1%	3	2.8	1.09×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 319	$2.69	1.9%	11	3.1	3.55×
P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 109	$2.25	4.6%	13	9.1	1.44×
Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 154	$1.81	2.6%	7	6.4	1.09×
P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 62	$1.51	5.4%	12	16.0	0.75×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 57	$1.30	5.0%	38	17.3	2.19×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 65	$1.28	4.4%	20	15.3	1.31×
P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 66	$1.03	3.4%	29	14.9	1.94×
P2000 \| Turf (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 62	$0.71	2.6%	47	16.0	2.93×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 47	$0.69	3.3%	44	21.0	2.09×
P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 37	$0.67	4.0%	31	26.7	1.16×
Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 39	$0.64	3.6%	40	25.3	1.58×
USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 85	$0.57	1.5%	39	11.7	3.33×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 71	$0.52	1.6%	21	14.0	1.50×
Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 88	$0.51	1.3%	18	11.2	1.61×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 65	$0.51	1.7%	27	15.2	1.77×
Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 64	$0.50	1.7%	14	15.5	0.90×
Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 85	$0.47	1.2%	24	11.6	2.07×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 93	$0.47	1.1%	21	10.6	1.98×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 130	$0.46	0.8%	14	7.6	1.84×
Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 106	$0.46	1.0%	16	9.3	1.72×
Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 123	$0.45	0.8%	24	8.1	2.97×
R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 87	$0.44	1.1%	33	11.4	2.89×
R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 98	$0.43	1.0%	20	10.1	1.98×
CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 84	$0.42	1.1%	23	11.8	1.95×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 77	$0.40	1.2%	40	12.9	3.11×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 61	$0.40	1.4%	29	16.1	1.80×
Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 71	$0.38	1.2%	23	13.9	1.65×
Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 67	$0.38	1.3%	21	14.8	1.42×
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 71	$0.37	1.2%	30	13.9	2.16×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 72	$0.37	1.1%	39	13.8	2.82×
CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 59	$0.36	1.4%	17	16.8	1.01×
CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 43	$0.35	1.8%	37	23.0	1.61×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 43	$0.35	1.8%	44	23.1	1.91×
CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 50	$0.34	1.5%	26	19.9	1.31×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 41	$0.34	1.8%	44	23.9	1.84×
P250 \| Cassette (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 35	$0.33	2.1%	37	28.2	1.31×
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 31	$0.27	1.9%	7	31.7	0.22×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 24	$0.26	2.4%	0	40.7	0.00×
Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 16	$0.25	3.4%	0	60.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 14	$0.23	3.6%	0	69.1	0.00×
P2000 \| Gnarled (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 14	$0.21	3.2%	0	68.4	0.00×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 11	$0.15	2.9%	0	86.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Gnarled (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 11	$0.15	3.0%	0	88.3	0.00×

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/eco-case, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff❦حب المال♂$0.49$0.340.69x30m

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Rare❦حب المال♂$0.49$0.350.71x30m

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)weapon · violet❦حب المال♂$0.49$0.420.86x30m

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec❦حب المال♂$0.49$0.501.02x30m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted❦حب المال♂$0.49$1.442.94x30m

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec❦حب المال♂$0.49$0.340.69x30m

CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffKRAKEN$0.49$0.440.90x2h

Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New)weapon · mil specKRAKEN$0.49$0.450.92x2h

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecKRAKEN$0.49$0.410.84x2h

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareKRAKEN$0.49$1.252.55x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC	$0.49	92.09%	51
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$0.49	92.01%	51
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$0.49	92.05%	51
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC	$0.49	92.08%	51
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC	$0.49	92.01%	51
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC	$0.49	92.06%	51
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC	$0.49	92.02%	51
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC	$0.49	91.99%	51
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC	$0.49	92.03%	51
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$0.49	92.08%	51
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$0.49	92.10%	51
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$0.49	92.09%	51
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC	$0.49	92.00%	51

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.1%classified 0.9%restricted 5.8%mil spec 15.7%Mil Spec Grade 0.0%milspec 39.4%#d32ee6 0.0%#4b69ff 14.7%Legendary 1.6%Rare 14.0%#8847ff 1.2%violet 1.0%blue 4.5%best hit —