Five-Seven

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$1.99
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $1.83 from 137 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.08%
1,352 openings, odds method
Variance
10.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
84.11%±49.54158 openings
7 days
102.32%±23.94684 openings
30 days
98.08%±17.281,352 openings
since tracking started
98.08%±17.281,352 openings
34.0%84.3%134.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h15884.11%±49.5−0.3σodds
7d684102.32%±23.9+0.8σodds
30d1,35298.08%±17.3+0.7σodds
All1,35298.08%±17.3+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values137 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,352 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$2632.6%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$2612.3%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$2242.2%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$77.830.6%10.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 9,091$69.570.4%10.1—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 10,000$66.350.4%00.1—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$65.830.6%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 5,882$63.160.6%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 7,692$61.280.4%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,263$60.970.6%00.3—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,263$58.910.6%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$57.050.6%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$51.020.6%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,263$46.920.5%00.3—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,667$43.970.4%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$41.750.4%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 5,556$38.970.4%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$38.340.4%00.3—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$36.060.3%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 8,333$35.640.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,667$29.310.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$26.490.3%00.3—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 10,000$25.410.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$24.490.2%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$23.500.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 7,692$23.140.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,667$22.460.2%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 7,143$20.870.2%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$20.450.2%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$19.780.2%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 8,333$19.240.1%10.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 7,692$18.160.1%10.2—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,176$15.070.7%01.10.00×
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 5,882$14.430.1%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Anodized Gunmetal (Factory New)weapon · Common1 in 9,091$13.930.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$13.890.1%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$13.530.1%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 1,205$13.010.6%11.10.89×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 7,692$12.960.1%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$12.920.1%00.3—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$12.890.1%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$12.490.1%10.1—
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 7,143$12.010.1%10.2—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 1,031$11.930.6%21.31.53×
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 7,143$11.500.1%00.2—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 546$11.381.1%42.51.62×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 725$9.880.7%41.92.14×
Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 311$9.021.6%74.41.61×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 2,941$6.980.1%40.5—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 281$6.941.3%54.81.04×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 242$6.121.4%105.61.79×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 111$5.342.6%1312.21.07×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 196$5.251.5%86.91.16×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 291$5.191.0%114.72.37×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 152$5.041.8%68.90.68×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 282$4.981.0%34.80.63×
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 214$4.621.2%66.30.95×
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 136$4.181.7%1110.01.11×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 140$4.161.6%59.70.52×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 119$3.981.8%711.40.61×
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 145$3.931.5%159.31.61×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 169$3.791.2%128.01.50×
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 188$3.681.1%117.21.53×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 139$3.361.3%119.81.13×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 105$3.291.7%812.90.62×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 127$3.221.4%1310.71.22×
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 102$3.081.7%713.30.53×
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 112$2.961.4%1112.10.91×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 140$2.941.1%119.71.14×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 141$2.881.1%79.60.73×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 130$2.851.2%1510.41.45×
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 185$2.830.8%237.33.14×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 111$2.801.4%1312.21.06×
Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 83$2.721.8%2616.31.60×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 72$2.401.8%2118.81.12×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 58$2.092.0%2723.51.15×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 50$2.062.2%2227.00.82×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 39$1.952.7%2734.20.79×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 46$1.862.2%2829.20.96×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 64$1.751.5%2621.21.23×
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 48$1.742.0%3128.21.10×
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 61$1.651.5%2922.11.31×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 56$1.531.5%2924.31.20×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 55$1.441.4%4124.81.66×
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 46$1.361.6%4829.11.65×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 43$1.321.7%3431.51.08×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 42$1.291.7%4632.01.44×
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 43$1.231.6%3131.70.98×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 52$1.161.2%4526.21.72×
Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 31 in 40$1.131.5%4533.51.34×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 34$0.791.3%3439.70.86×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 31$0.681.2%5243.81.19×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 28$0.631.2%5447.61.13×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 28$0.631.2%6448.21.33×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 26$0.601.2%3851.10.74×
Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 55$0.590.6%2624.61.06×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare1 in 55$0.590.6%2624.71.05×
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 85$0.580.4%1915.91.20×
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 113$0.520.3%2111.91.76×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 95$0.500.3%2014.21.41×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 96$0.490.3%514.00.36×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 89$0.490.3%1815.21.19×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 75$0.470.3%2518.11.38×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 126$0.460.2%1410.71.31×
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 122$0.440.2%2011.11.80×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 87$0.420.3%915.50.58×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 91$0.410.2%1014.90.67×
Five-SeveN | Capillary (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 101$0.380.2%2313.41.72×
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #7777771 in 81$0.330.2%1716.71.02×
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Well-Worn)weapon · Common1 in 136$0.330.1%39.90.30×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 112$0.290.1%712.00.58×
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 119$0.280.1%811.30.71×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 101$0.280.2%613.30.45×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 112$0.260.1%212.10.17×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 100$0.260.1%013.50.00×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 147$0.250.1%09.20.00×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 104$0.250.1%013.00.00×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 152$0.250.1%08.90.00×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 156$0.240.1%08.60.00×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 192$0.230.1%07.10.00×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 152$0.230.1%08.90.00×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 316$0.200.0%04.30.00×
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 149$0.200.1%09.10.00×
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 382$0.180.0%03.50.00×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 227$0.150.0%05.90.00×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 287$0.150.0%04.70.00×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 278$0.140.0%04.90.00×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 175$0.140.0%07.70.00×
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 272$0.140.0%05.00.00×
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 218$0.120.0%06.20.00×
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 278$0.120.0%04.90.00×
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7ff1 in 380$0.120.0%03.60.00×
Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New)weapon · consumer1 in 280$0.120.0%04.80.00×
Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested)weapon · #7777771 in 279$0.120.0%04.80.00×
Five-SeveN | Coolant (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer1 in 383$0.120.0%03.50.00×
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer1 in 394$0.120.0%03.40.00×
Five-SeveN | Coolant (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer1 in 329$0.060.0%04.10.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/fiveseven, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$1.9992.00%137
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$1.9992.00%137
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$1.9992.09%137
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$1.9992.08%137
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$1.9992.00%137
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$1.9992.00%137
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$1.9992.09%137
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$1.9992.08%137
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$1.9992.00%137
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$1.9992.03%137
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$1.9992.01%137
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$1.9992.06%137
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$1.9992.08%137
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$1.9992.00%137
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$1.9992.00%137
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$1.9992.08%137
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$1.9992.00%137
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$1.9992.09%137
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$1.9992.06%137
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$1.9992.07%137
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$1.9992.00%137
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$1.9992.00%137
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$1.9992.00%137
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$1.9992.10%137
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$1.9992.00%137
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$1.9992.00%137
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$1.9992.10%137
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$1.9992.03%137
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$1.9992.00%137
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$1.9992.00%137
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 0.7%3 2.5%classified 0.3%covert 0.2%Covert 0.0%industrial 1.8%restricted 19.1%#d32ee6 0.0%Common 0.7%Classified 0.0%mil spec 15.7%Mythical 1.9%Mil Spec Grade 5.3%milspec 28.3%#8847ff 0.7%#4b69ff 7.5%Mil Spec 0.9%blue 3.9%violet 3.7%Rare 3.4%#777777 1.6%Uncommon 0.3%#87c7ff 0.3%consumer 1.2%best hit —