Full buy case
A case on GGDROP (bum), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.
Price
$1.79
Advertised RTP
87.68%
EV $1.57 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.25%
2,485 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds summed to 0.9830, rescaled · observed counts over 2,525 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
ggdrop:api/case/full-buy-case, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.68%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $1.79 | 87.68% | 40 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1.79 | 83.28% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $1.79 | 86.32% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.79 | 85.18% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.79 | 85.93% | 40 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.79 | 86.71% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.79 | 84.16% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $1.79 | 84.93% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1.79 | 85.69% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.79 | 84.51% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $1.79 | 83.79% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $1.79 | 84.30% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $1.79 | 84.26% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1.79 | 83.84% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $1.79 | 85.46% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $1.79 | 83.61% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $1.79 | 83.10% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $1.79 | 85.77% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $1.79 | 85.09% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $1.79 | 85.58% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.79 | 85.68% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.79 | 85.64% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.79 | 82.15% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.79 | 83.01% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.79 | 85.57% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $1.79 | 84.59% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $1.79 | 85.82% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.79 | 85.53% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $1.79 | 83.82% | 40 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $1.79 | 84.63% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedblue 0.0%classified 1.3%mil spec 28.6%restricted 31.8%violet 8.4%milspec 5.6%industrial 6.1%Restricted 3.5%Mythical 2.4%#8847ff 10.6%best hit —