Glove Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price

$4.79

Advertised RTP

92.00%

EV $4.41 from 125 items

Observed RTP, 30d

80.17%

389 openings, odds method

Variance

8.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

13.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

26 openings · below min

7 days

78.67%±31.00349 openings

30 days

80.17%±29.27389 openings

since tracking started

80.17%±29.27389 openings

-0.5%95.3%191.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	26	78.40%±111.8	—	odds
7d	349	78.67%±31.0	−0.8σ	odds
30d	389	80.17%±29.3	−0.8σ	odds
All	389	80.17%±29.3	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values125 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 389 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$538	1.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$440	1.6%	0	0.1	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$340	1.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$280	1.1%	0	0.1	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$256	0.6%	0	0.0	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 5,000	$227	1.0%	0	0.1	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$223	0.9%	0	0.1	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$218	0.5%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 9,091	$204	0.5%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 5,000	$198	0.9%	0	0.1	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,882	$169	0.7%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 8,333	$140	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$140	0.5%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$137	0.5%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$134	0.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)gloves · #EB4B4B	1 in 10,000	$123	0.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 8,333	$121	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$114	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 6,667	$109	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red	1 in 7,143	$108	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 5,556	$106	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,556	$104	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$101	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunny	1 in 6,667	$99.75	0.3%	0	0.1	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 7,692	$99.24	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$97.89	0.3%	0	0.1	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Battle-Scarred)gloves · gold	1 in 6,250	$97.16	0.4%	1	0.1	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$92.50	0.4%	0	0.1	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 7,692	$80.70	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$52.06	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 8,333	$50.88	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 5,263	$46.13	0.2%	1	0.1	—
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 8,333	$44.78	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$33.80	0.1%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 5,882	$30.76	0.1%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 847	$29.82	0.8%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,695	$29.46	0.4%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 9,091	$29.31	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 5,882	$28.34	0.1%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 518	$27.98	1.2%	0	0.8	—
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$27.89	0.1%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 719	$27.17	0.9%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 5,263	$21.70	0.1%	1	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 610	$19.89	0.7%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 613	$19.44	0.7%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 273	$17.77	1.5%	1	1.4	0.70×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 538	$17.50	0.7%	0	0.7	—
P2000 \| Turf (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 239	$15.90	1.5%	2	1.6	1.23×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 324	$15.64	1.1%	3	1.2	2.50×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 163	$15.35	2.1%	5	2.4	2.10×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 216	$13.38	1.4%	0	1.8	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 209	$12.52	1.4%	2	1.9	1.07×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 134	$12.28	2.1%	3	2.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 88	$12.02	3.1%	2	4.4	0.45×
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 99	$10.61	2.4%	3	3.9	0.76×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 124	$8.96	1.6%	6	3.1	1.91×
Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 73	$8.00	2.5%	3	5.3	0.56×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 54	$7.91	3.3%	8	7.3	1.10×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 52	$7.38	3.2%	4	7.5	0.53×
Nova \| Gila (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 70	$7.25	2.3%	3	5.5	0.54×
G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 103	$7.13	1.6%	5	3.8	1.32×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 87	$6.07	1.6%	3	4.5	0.67×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 77	$6.02	1.8%	8	5.0	1.59×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 69	$5.89	1.9%	5	5.6	0.89×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 50	$5.19	2.3%	8	7.7	1.03×
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 67	$4.90	1.6%	2	5.8	0.35×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 57	$4.84	1.9%	6	6.9	0.88×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 62	$4.76	1.7%	8	6.3	1.28×
Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 98	$4.34	1.0%	6	4.0	1.51×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 89	$4.27	1.1%	4	4.4	0.92×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 69	$3.89	1.3%	5	5.6	0.89×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 56	$3.79	1.5%	3	7.0	0.43×
G3SG1 \| Stinger (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 75	$3.56	1.1%	2	5.2	0.39×
P2000 \| Turf (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 55	$3.54	1.5%	3	7.1	0.42×
Nova \| Gila (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 100	$3.53	0.8%	8	3.9	2.05×
Nova \| Gila (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 76	$3.48	1.0%	2	5.1	0.39×
StatTrak™ Nova \| Gila (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 70	$3.39	1.1%	5	5.6	0.90×
Galil AR \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 97	$3.39	0.8%	4	4.0	1.00×
Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 86	$3.38	0.9%	4	4.5	0.88×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 98	$3.38	0.8%	7	4.0	1.76×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 97	$3.25	0.8%	9	4.0	2.24×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 64	$2.97	1.1%	8	6.1	1.31×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 55	$2.84	1.2%	9	7.0	1.28×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 36	$2.70	1.7%	9	10.8	0.84×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 32	$2.32	1.6%	9	12.1	0.75×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 37	$2.06	1.3%	15	10.7	1.41×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 32	$2.01	1.4%	5	12.3	0.41×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 31	$1.99	1.5%	8	12.6	0.63×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Stinger (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 40	$1.90	1.1%	15	9.7	1.55×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Stinger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 52	$1.74	0.8%	11	7.5	1.47×
StatTrak™ Nova \| Gila (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 43	$1.50	0.8%	10	9.0	1.12×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 37	$1.28	0.8%	10	10.5	0.95×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 36	$1.24	0.8%	9	10.8	0.83×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 38	$1.19	0.7%	11	10.2	1.08×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 50	$1.15	0.5%	6	7.8	0.77×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$1.11	0.3%	5	4.2	1.18×
MAG-7 \| Sonar (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 88	$1.05	0.3%	5	4.4	1.13×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 76	$1.02	0.3%	5	5.1	0.98×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 87	$0.97	0.3%	7	4.5	1.56×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 75	$0.92	0.3%	8	5.2	1.53×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 80	$0.78	0.2%	6	4.9	1.23×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 68	$0.72	0.2%	9	5.7	1.57×
P2000 \| Turf (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 85	$0.71	0.2%	7	4.6	1.54×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 73	$0.66	0.2%	3	5.3	0.57×
Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 144	$0.64	0.1%	8	2.7	2.95×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 196	$0.61	0.1%	1	2.0	0.50×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 146	$0.59	0.1%	4	2.7	1.51×
P2000 \| Turf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 228	$0.55	0.1%	4	1.7	2.34×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Sonar (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 188	$0.54	0.1%	1	2.1	0.48×
P2000 \| Turf (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 175	$0.53	0.1%	2	2.2	0.90×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 153	$0.52	0.1%	3	2.5	1.18×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 183	$0.50	0.1%	1	2.1	0.47×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 241	$0.50	0.0%	1	1.6	0.62×
MAG-7 \| Sonar (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 234	$0.50	0.0%	2	1.7	1.20×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 289	$0.47	0.0%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 287	$0.47	0.0%	2	1.4	1.47×
Galil AR \| Black Sand (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 290	$0.46	0.0%	0	1.3	0.00×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 298	$0.46	0.0%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 413	$0.45	0.0%	1	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 255	$0.44	0.0%	0	1.5	0.00×
Galil AR \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 155	$0.41	0.1%	2	2.5	0.80×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 169	$0.40	0.1%	1	2.3	0.43×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 282	$0.38	0.0%	3	1.4	2.17×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 122	$0.36	0.1%	0	3.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 121	$0.32	0.1%	5	3.2	1.56×

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/glovecase, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · RareKatze im Panzer **********$4.79$1.190.25x2h

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecя селфмейд$4.79$2.010.42x4h

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedя селфмейд$4.79$1.740.36x4h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedя селфмейд$4.79$8.961.87x4h

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecя селфмейд$4.79$2.010.42x4h

StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecя селфмейд$4.79$1.990.42x4h

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classifiedя селфмейд$4.79$29.466.15x4h

Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalPhylong$4.79$3.500.73x9h

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · MythicalPhylong$4.79$2.320.48x9h

Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalPhylong$4.79$3.520.73x9h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$4.79	92.01%	125
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC	$4.79	92.06%	125
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$4.79	92.05%	125
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC	$4.79	92.03%	125
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC	$4.79	92.03%	125
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC	$4.79	92.07%	125
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC	$4.79	92.01%	125
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC	$4.79	92.09%	125
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC	$4.79	92.03%	125
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC	$4.79	92.04%	125
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC	$4.79	92.03%	125
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$4.79	92.04%	125
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$4.79	92.07%	125
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$4.79	92.01%	125
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC	$4.79	92.09%	125
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC	$4.79	92.08%	125
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$4.79	92.10%	125
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC	$4.79	92.00%	125
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC	$4.79	92.09%	125

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.1%covert 0.2%Covert 0.0%Ancient 0.0%Legendary 1.3%#EB4B4B 0.0%red 0.0%Mythical 17.0%sunny 0.0%gold 0.0%classified 0.9%Rare 14.2%pink 0.2%Classified 2.1%restricted 17.8%Restricted 0.2%mil spec 1.7%#4b69ff 8.1%violet 4.4%Mil Spec Grade 4.9%#8847ff 4.6%milspec 20.5%blue 1.6%best hit —