Huntsman Weapon Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price

$3.90

Advertised RTP

92.08%

EV $3.59 from 127 items

Observed RTP, 30d

96.57%

185 openings, odds method

Variance

2.0×

of price², per opening

Tail share

17.4%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

70.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

29 openings · below min

7 days

96.71%±24.87125 openings

30 days

96.57%±20.03185 openings

since tracking started

96.57%±20.03185 openings

40.5%94.0%147.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	29	93.88%±52.8	—	odds
7d	125	96.71%±24.9	+0.4σ	odds
30d	185	96.57%±20.0	+0.4σ	odds
All	185	96.57%±20.0	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values127 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 185 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$207	0.9%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$109	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$88.28	0.5%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$80.02	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$76.13	0.3%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$74.44	0.4%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$73.04	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$72.25	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$62.78	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #EB4B4B	1 in 6,250	$56.74	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 8,333	$52.51	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$50.92	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$50.00	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 5,556	$49.71	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$48.34	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert	1 in 8,333	$47.19	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$45.81	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$43.14	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,448	$42.74	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$42.68	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$41.69	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$41.08	0.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Caiman (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$38.17	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,857	$37.44	0.4%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 6,667	$36.57	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Ancient	1 in 6,667	$33.92	0.1%	0	0.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified	1 in 5,000	$33.83	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 7,143	$32.88	0.1%	0	0.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$32.28	0.1%	0	0.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$29.38	0.1%	0	0.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$28.39	0.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$28.25	0.1%	1	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$27.09	0.1%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 847	$27.01	0.9%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$26.87	0.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,408	$25.62	0.5%	1	0.1	—
SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,031	$25.45	0.7%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 417	$25.10	1.7%	0	0.4	—
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 308	$16.08	1.5%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 1,250	$15.53	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 174	$14.03	2.3%	2	1.1	1.88×
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 171	$13.91	2.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 238	$13.53	1.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 291	$13.35	1.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 556	$11.81	0.6%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 306	$11.76	1.1%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 602	$11.55	0.5%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 231	$10.74	1.3%	0	0.8	—
MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 369	$10.46	0.8%	2	0.5	—
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 452	$10.40	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 215	$10.36	1.3%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 629	$9.96	0.4%	1	0.3	—
PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 408	$9.94	0.7%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 337	$9.80	0.8%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,639	$9.29	0.2%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Torque (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 275	$9.27	0.9%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 244	$9.12	1.0%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 214	$9.07	1.2%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 248	$8.37	0.9%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 196	$8.08	1.1%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 211	$7.96	1.0%	3	0.9	—
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 154	$7.76	1.4%	1	1.2	0.83×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 178	$7.44	1.2%	0	1.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 215	$7.02	0.9%	1	0.9	—
P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 136	$6.92	1.4%	0	1.4	0.00×
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 203	$6.62	0.9%	3	0.9	—
MAC-10 \| Tatter (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 149	$6.34	1.2%	4	1.2	3.23×
MAC-10 \| Tatter (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 182	$6.31	1.0%	0	1.0	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Tatter (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 164	$6.18	1.1%	2	1.1	1.77×
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 311	$6.02	0.5%	2	0.6	—
AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 163	$5.96	1.0%	2	1.1	1.76×
PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 257	$5.91	0.6%	0	0.7	—
Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 201	$5.64	0.8%	1	0.9	—
PP-Bizon \| Antique (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical	1 in 176	$5.63	0.9%	0	1.1	0.00×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 137	$5.56	1.1%	1	1.4	0.74×
AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 141	$5.46	1.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 211	$5.34	0.7%	1	0.9	—
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 174	$5.33	0.9%	0	1.1	0.00×
SSG 08 \| Slashed (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 229	$5.30	0.6%	2	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 146	$5.04	1.0%	1	1.3	0.79×
MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 142	$5.03	1.0%	1	1.3	0.77×
AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 114	$4.92	1.2%	4	1.6	2.46×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 94	$4.80	1.4%	0	2.0	0.00×
XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 102	$4.76	1.3%	3	1.8	1.65×
PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 83	$4.68	1.6%	4	2.2	1.79×
PP-Bizon \| Antique (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 72	$4.34	1.7%	2	2.6	0.78×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 64	$4.07	1.8%	3	2.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 53	$3.94	2.1%	0	3.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 44	$3.74	2.4%	2	4.2	0.48×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 41	$2.99	2.0%	3	4.5	0.67×
Galil AR \| Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 46	$2.81	1.7%	2	4.0	0.50×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 36	$2.73	2.1%	6	5.2	1.16×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 33	$2.71	2.3%	5	5.5	0.90×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 65	$2.54	1.1%	3	2.9	1.05×
Tec-9 \| Isaac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 84	$2.51	0.8%	7	2.2	3.19×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 75	$2.49	0.9%	2	2.5	0.81×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 61	$2.16	1.0%	4	3.0	1.32×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Pulse (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 78	$2.15	0.8%	1	2.4	0.42×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 58	$1.99	1.0%	2	3.2	0.62×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 51	$1.98	1.1%	6	3.6	1.67×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 91	$1.92	0.6%	1	2.0	0.49×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF	1 in 84	$1.90	0.6%	1	2.2	0.45×
P2000 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 122	$1.83	0.4%	1	1.5	0.66×
Galil AR \| Kami (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 113	$1.82	0.4%	4	1.6	2.44×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 118	$1.76	0.4%	2	1.6	1.28×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 121	$1.75	0.4%	3	1.5	1.96×
SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 130	$1.74	0.4%	1	1.4	0.70×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 113	$1.72	0.4%	5	1.6	3.06×
Galil AR \| Kami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$1.72	0.5%	1	2.0	0.50×
P2000 \| Pulse (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 148	$1.68	0.3%	4	1.2	3.21×
SSG 08 \| Slashed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 149	$1.68	0.3%	2	1.2	1.61×
Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 150	$1.68	0.3%	2	1.2	1.62×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Slashed (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 120	$1.66	0.4%	2	1.5	1.30×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 140	$1.63	0.3%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Slashed (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 90	$1.59	0.5%	1	2.0	0.49×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 64	$1.44	0.6%	2	2.9	0.69×
P90 \| Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 49	$1.42	0.8%	0	3.7	0.00×
P2000 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 47	$1.34	0.8%	2	3.9	0.51×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 37	$1.22	0.9%	7	4.9	1.42×
P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 47	$1.21	0.7%	3	3.9	0.77×
P90 \| Module (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 38	$1.19	0.9%	6	4.8	1.25×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Pulse (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 37	$1.18	0.9%	4	5.0	0.80×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 41	$1.07	0.7%	4	4.5	0.88×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 31	$1.06	0.9%	4	5.9	0.67×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF	1 in 26	$0.97	1.0%	7	7.0	1.00×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 22	$0.90	1.1%	6	8.4	0.71×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 22	$0.90	1.1%	7	8.5	0.83×

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/huntsman, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Tec-9 | Isaac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specDODO$3.90$2.530.65x10h

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil SpecStuntCoordinator$3.90$1.750.45x14h

Tec-9 | Isaac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil specStuntCoordinator$3.90$2.520.65x14h

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Battle-Scarred)weapon · RareStuntCoordinator$3.90$0.900.23x14h

PP-Bizon | Antique (Factory New)weapon · restrictedStuntCoordinator$3.90$9.772.51x14h

StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil specStuntCoordinator$3.90$1.790.46x14h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedStuntCoordinator$3.90$10.382.66x14h

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Kami (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FFStuntCoordinator$3.90$1.890.48x14h

PP-Bizon | Antique (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedStuntCoordinator$3.90$4.361.12x14h

P2000 | Pulse (Well-Worn)weapon · blueStuntCoordinator$3.90$1.630.42x14h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.08%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC	$3.90	92.08%	127
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC	$3.90	92.01%	127
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$3.90	92.08%	127
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC	$3.90	92.04%	127
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC	$3.90	92.01%	127
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$3.90	92.02%	127
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC	$3.90	92.05%	127
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC	$3.90	92.04%	127
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC	$3.90	92.10%	127
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC	$3.90	92.03%	127
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC	$3.90	92.09%	127
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$3.90	92.04%	127
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$3.90	92.07%	127
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC	$3.90	92.07%	127
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC	$3.90	92.02%	127
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$3.90	92.09%	127
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC	$3.90	92.00%	127

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.6%covert 0.1%#EB4B4B 0.0%Classified 0.1%Covert 0.0%mil spec 22.0%Ancient 0.0%restricted 13.2%Restricted 3.1%violet 0.3%#8847ff 2.5%Mil Spec Grade 3.6%#4b69ff 16.0%Mythical 0.6%Rare 9.3%milspec 16.2%Mil Spec 4.9%#4B69FF 5.0%blue 2.8%best hit —