P90

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$1.91
Advertised RTP
92.06%
EV $1.76 from 148 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.95%
840 openings, odds method
Variance
12.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
76 openings · below min
7 days
98.97%±28.47593 openings
30 days
100.95%±24.34840 openings
since tracking started
100.95%±24.34840 openings
-0.5%76.3%153.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7674.44%±77.8—odds
7d59398.97%±28.5+0.5σodds
30d840100.95%±24.3+0.7σodds
All840100.95%±24.3+0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values148 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 840 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
P90 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,263$2062.2%00.2—
P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 7,143$1961.6%00.1—
P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$1961.6%00.1—
P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$1961.6%10.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 9,091$1891.2%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 8,333$1871.3%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,263$1801.9%00.2—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 5,000$56.420.6%00.2—
P90 | Desert Warfare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 5,000$52.950.6%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 7,692$51.060.4%00.1—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 5,000$50.880.6%00.2—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 6,667$50.260.4%10.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 10,000$48.610.3%00.1—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 7,692$33.800.2%00.1—
P90 | Death Grip (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$29.400.2%00.1—
P90 | Shapewood (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$28.060.2%00.1—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified1 in 7,692$27.980.2%00.1—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 7,692$27.170.2%00.1—
P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 5,263$27.050.3%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$26.390.2%00.1—
P90 | Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 7,143$25.840.2%10.1—
P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 6,250$23.730.2%10.1—
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 10,000$23.180.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 10,000$20.790.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 10,000$18.100.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,556$17.830.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,667$17.770.2%00.1—
P90 | Death Grip (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 7,692$17.200.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,143$16.530.1%10.1—
P90 | Sunset Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 5,263$15.670.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$15.560.2%00.2—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 5,556$15.280.2%00.2—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 5,882$15.160.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 5,263$14.930.2%00.2—
P90 | Tiger Pit (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 10,000$14.640.1%00.1—
P90 | Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 6,667$14.630.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 8,333$13.380.1%00.1—
P90 | Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 8,333$13.050.1%00.1—
P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 5,000$12.640.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,143$12.520.1%00.1—
P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 6,250$12.380.1%00.1—
P90 | Trigon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$12.320.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 6,250$12.280.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 6,250$12.010.1%00.1—
P90 | Sunset Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 5,556$11.830.1%00.2—
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 8,333$11.630.1%00.1—
P90 | Sunset Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 5,556$10.230.1%00.2—
P90 | Trigon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$10.200.1%00.1—
P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$10.060.1%00.1—
P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$9.770.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$9.580.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,263$9.400.1%10.2—
P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 8,333$9.330.1%20.1—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,703$9.230.2%00.3—
P90 | Blind Spot (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 917$8.520.5%00.9—
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 5,556$8.260.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 2,564$8.230.2%10.3—
P90 | Leather (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 1,176$7.960.4%00.7—
P90 | Leather (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 1,471$7.740.3%30.6—
P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 332$7.681.3%22.50.79×
P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 461$7.090.9%11.80.55×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 373$5.700.9%32.31.33×
P90 | Attack Vector (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 191$5.651.7%54.41.14×
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 185$5.491.7%14.50.22×
P90 | Desert Warfare (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 217$5.471.4%13.90.26×
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 1,010$5.380.3%50.8—
P90 | Attack Vector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 284$5.161.0%63.02.03×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 339$5.020.8%32.51.21×
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 212$4.861.3%74.01.77×
StatTrak™ P90 | Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 174$4.581.5%04.80.00×
P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 124$4.241.9%86.81.18×
P90 | Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 142$3.841.5%85.91.35×
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 86$3.832.5%109.81.03×
P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 78$3.642.7%2110.81.95×
P90 | Virus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 96$3.412.0%78.80.80×
P90 | Chopper (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 83$3.322.3%710.20.69×
P90 | Virus (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 79$3.142.3%1010.70.94×
P90 | Desert Warfare (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 68$3.052.6%812.40.64×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 84$2.681.8%910.00.90×
StatTrak™ P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 59$2.622.5%1814.21.26×
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 59$2.472.4%1414.20.99×
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 50$2.162.5%1716.81.01×
P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 68$2.051.7%1512.41.21×
StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 54$1.902.0%2215.61.41×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 54$1.771.8%2215.41.43×
StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 71$1.761.4%1011.90.84×
StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 64$1.751.5%813.10.61×
StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 73$1.721.3%1911.61.64×
P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 109$1.660.9%147.71.81×
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 97$1.651.0%108.71.15×
P90 | Off World (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 85$1.501.0%89.80.81×
P90 | Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 69$1.421.2%1112.20.90×
P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted1 in 60$1.411.3%914.10.64×
StatTrak™ P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 56$1.391.4%1214.90.80×
P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 75$1.371.0%1311.11.17×
P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 88$1.330.9%169.61.67×
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 78$1.240.9%1610.71.49×
P90 | Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 62$1.211.1%1113.60.81×
P90 | Module (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 54$1.191.2%2415.41.56×
P90 | Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 52$1.111.2%2016.21.23×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 51$1.041.2%2116.41.28×
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 46$0.971.2%2218.41.19×
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 40$0.841.2%1921.10.90×
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 40$0.811.2%2121.20.99×
StatTrak™ P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 41$0.771.1%2920.61.41×
P90 | Teardown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 46$0.670.8%2118.21.15×
P90 | Traction (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 36$0.671.1%1123.40.47×
StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 57$0.660.7%2314.81.56×
P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 57$0.660.7%2014.71.36×
P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 68$0.620.5%712.40.56×
P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 61$0.600.6%1613.71.17×
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 92$0.540.3%129.11.32×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 66$0.530.5%1012.60.79×
P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 89$0.510.3%129.41.28×
StatTrak™ P90 | Off World (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 67$0.460.4%912.50.72×
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 78$0.460.3%610.70.56×
P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 96$0.420.2%198.72.18×
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 87$0.410.3%149.61.46×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 84$0.400.3%1010.01.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 101$0.400.2%88.30.96×
P90 | Grim (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 115$0.380.2%27.30.27×
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 115$0.380.2%07.30.00×
P90 | Traction (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 170$0.370.1%84.91.62×
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 204$0.370.1%54.11.21×
P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 214$0.360.1%83.92.04×
P90 | Grim (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 131$0.360.2%86.41.24×
P90 | Traction (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 196$0.350.1%234.35.37×
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 195$0.350.1%84.31.85×
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · blue1 in 173$0.330.1%44.90.82×
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 125$0.320.1%26.70.30×
P90 | Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 190$0.310.1%74.41.58×
P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 126$0.290.1%56.70.75×
P90 | Off World (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 146$0.270.1%05.70.00×
P90 | Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 126$0.260.1%16.70.15×
P90 | Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 124$0.260.1%26.80.29×
P90 | Facility Negative (Well-Worn)weapon · 11 in 112$0.260.1%17.50.13×
P90 | Facility Negative (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 119$0.210.1%07.10.00×
P90 | Ash Wood (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon1 in 105$0.200.1%08.00.00×
P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 117$0.190.1%07.20.00×
P90 | Freight (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 154$0.190.1%05.50.00×
P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 153$0.190.1%05.50.00×
P90 | Ash Wood (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 135$0.170.1%06.20.00×
P90 | Freight (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 235$0.150.0%03.60.00×
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 248$0.150.0%03.40.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 196$0.150.0%04.30.00×
P90 | Ash Wood (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 189$0.140.0%04.40.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 169$0.140.0%05.00.00×
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 255$0.140.0%03.30.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/p90, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.06%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$1.9192.06%148
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$1.9192.00%148
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$1.9192.09%148
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$1.9192.00%148
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$1.9192.08%148
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$1.9192.05%148
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$1.9192.04%148
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$1.9192.00%148
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$1.9192.09%148
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$1.9192.00%148
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$1.9192.00%148
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$1.9192.09%148
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$1.9192.00%148
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$1.9192.00%148
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$1.9192.00%148
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$1.9192.00%148
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$1.9192.00%148
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$1.9192.09%148
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$1.9192.02%148
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$1.9192.00%148
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$1.9192.06%148
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$1.9192.07%148
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$1.9192.08%148
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$1.9192.05%148
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$1.9192.03%148
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$1.9192.00%148
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$1.9192.01%148
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$1.9192.00%148
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$1.9192.05%148
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$1.9192.05%148
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 0.9%covert 0.1%#eb4b4b 0.0%#4b69ff 13.2%Mil Spec Grade 2.1%restricted 8.9%Legendary 0.1%milspec 31.5%classified 1.1%Classified 0.0%pink 0.0%violet 0.3%mil spec 19.4%industrial 1.4%Rare 2.8%Mythical 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%Industrial Grade 0.1%#8847ff 4.1%Restricted 2.8%blue 6.7%Mil Spec 3.3%Uncommon 1.0%best hit $201 (105.5x)