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Rambo

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$11.79
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $10.85 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.16%
3,872 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
86.94%±8.64545 openings
7 days
88.96%±3.543,159 openings
30 days
89.16%±3.193,872 openings
since tracking started
89.16%±3.193,872 openings
77.5%86.8%96.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h54586.94%±8.64−1.2σodds
7d3,15988.96%±3.54−1.7σodds
30d3,87289.16%±3.19−1.8σodds
All3,87289.16%±3.19−1.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,873 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred)gloves · rare1 in 9,091$1050.1%00.4—
★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 5,882$92.520.1%00.7—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$90.460.1%10.5—
AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 5,882$89.160.1%20.7—
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 6,667$85.670.1%10.6—
AK-47 | Consequence of the Jinn (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 5,556$77.480.1%20.7—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$71.830.1%30.8—
★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 709$63.750.8%75.51.28×
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 172$62.833.4%2722.51.20×
Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 169$55.043.0%1922.90.83×
M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 253$54.852.0%2015.31.30×
★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 167$52.492.9%2023.20.86×
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare1 in 101$49.324.5%2738.30.70×
AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 71$48.976.4%3154.60.57×
MP7 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 78$35.324.2%5149.71.03×
AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 57$30.114.9%7568.41.10×
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 47$23.004.5%7982.10.96×
P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 36$21.945.7%111108.81.02×
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 35$17.804.7%133109.91.21×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 28$15.355.0%141138.01.02×
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 30$14.714.4%188127.01.48×
Charm | Glitter Bombcharm · red1 in 27$13.514.5%133141.10.94×
Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 30$13.374.1%128128.41.00×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 30$13.234.1%155129.21.20×
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 26$12.554.4%150148.41.01×
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 23$9.233.8%170171.90.99×
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)weapon · Classified1 in 18$7.623.8%201212.10.95×
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 14$5.153.3%283272.11.04×
Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 12$4.703.6%310324.20.96×
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 14$4.122.8%232283.40.82×
SG 553 | Integrale (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 13$3.822.7%279302.40.92×
FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$3.471.6%177192.60.92×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 18$3.231.6%220209.61.05×
AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 18$2.371.2%233218.41.07×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 14$1.701.1%264268.80.98×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/rambo, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)weapon · LegendaryL4he$T$11.79$21.521.83x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedCS.PRO AEZY$11.79$17.611.49x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedCS.PRO AEZY$11.79$14.621.24x
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedCS.PRO AEZY$11.79$5.140.44x
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedCS.PRO AEZY$11.79$4.110.35x
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedCS.PRO AEZY$11.79$17.611.49x
FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffl1ght$11.79$3.470.29x
AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · redl1ght$11.79$29.842.53x
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedl1ght$11.79$14.621.24x
Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedl1ght$11.79$4.800.41x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$11.7992.00%35
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$11.7992.00%35
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$11.7992.09%35
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$11.7992.00%35
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$11.7992.08%35
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$11.7992.07%35
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$11.7992.00%35
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$11.7992.00%35
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$11.7992.00%35
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$11.7992.05%35
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$11.7992.00%35
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$11.7992.07%35
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$11.7992.00%35
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$11.7992.07%35
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$11.7992.06%35
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$11.7992.00%35
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$11.7992.06%35
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$11.7992.04%35
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$11.7992.00%35
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$11.7992.01%35
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$11.7992.03%35
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$11.7992.01%35
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$11.7992.02%35
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$11.7992.08%35
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$11.7992.06%35
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$11.7992.08%35
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$11.7992.00%35
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$11.7992.00%35
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$11.7992.00%35
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$11.7992.06%35
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 1.0%covert 1.9%extraordinary 0.6%red 5.4%covert knife 0.1%classified 31.5%#eb4b4b 1.3%Legendary 2.8%uncommon 3.6%industrial 3.3%pink 3.8%Classified 5.5%restricted 14.0%#d32ee6 7.8%#8847ff 5.0%Mythical 5.4%blue 6.9%best hit —