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Mines$1,46158.38xZEUS$1,90060.00xSalon Privé Baccarat C$2,2292.00xFruit Party$193114.4xSweet Bonanza 1000$1,9521.76xSweet Rush Fiesta$1,9519.25xSpeed Baccarat X$3,0052.00xCrash$5,32710.65xSalon Privé Blackjack G$9,9992.00xMoney Coming 30000$1,55115.50xCrash$2,69010.00xSalon Privé Blackjack F$19K2.00xVampy Party$1,3414.70xRoo's VIP Blackjack 2$21K1.83xBaccarat 3$1,0991.95xBuried By Night$401200.4xGates of Olympus Super Scatter$3,898222.1xGates of Olympus 2500$4,4631.98xJohn Hunter and the Tomb of the Scarab Queen$8,22616.40xCrazy Time A$1,1102.34xGates of Olympus Super Scatter$2,8467.11xPrivé Lounge 1$2,5002.50xDuck Hunters Happy Hour$226113.0xCase Battles$2,7702.74x

Revolution

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$4.79
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $4.41 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
59.05%
36 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
2 openings · below min
7 days
32 openings · below min
30 days
36 openings · below min
since tracking started
36 openings · below min
-0.5%309.8%620.0%

Small sample. 36 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2361.27%±258.2—odds
7d3263.25%±64.6—odds
30d3659.05%±60.7—odds
All3659.05%±60.7—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 7,692$1130.3%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 9,091$85.960.2%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 8,333$78.050.2%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,263$65.440.3%00.0—
★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,263$62.000.3%00.0—
★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)gloves · gold1 in 7,692$61.130.2%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 5,556$59.790.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Temukau (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 121$33.736.3%00.3—
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 70$33.5310.9%10.5—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · Ancient1 in 55$32.5913.4%00.7—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 60$30.1111.4%00.6—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 41$28.7816.1%00.9—
AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified1 in 22$5.315.4%21.61.23×
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 20$3.674.2%51.82.73×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 15$3.515.2%42.31.70×
AWP | Duality (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 11$3.417.0%03.30.00×
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 30$3.372.5%01.20.00×
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 61$3.331.2%00.6—
AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 44$3.331.7%20.8—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · pink1 in 56$3.331.3%00.6—
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 50$3.271.5%00.7—
AWP | Duality (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 47$3.251.6%00.8—
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 41$3.131.7%20.9—
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 21$0.971.1%41.82.28×
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 16$0.751.1%12.30.43×
P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 14$0.611.0%32.61.14×
SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 13$0.611.0%22.70.74×
Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 12$0.601.2%13.10.33×
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 63$0.590.2%30.6—
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 86$0.570.2%10.4—
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted1 in 1,205$0.570.0%00.0—
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 199$0.530.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 190$0.490.1%10.2—
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Well-Worn)weapon · 31 in 833$0.490.0%00.0—
P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 156$0.470.1%00.2—
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 205$0.440.0%00.2—
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 505$0.420.0%00.1—
P90 | Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 167$0.420.1%10.2—
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 893$0.420.0%20.0—
P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 621$0.410.0%00.1—
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 31 in 185$0.400.0%00.2—
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 31 in 549$0.400.0%00.1—
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 8,333$0.400.0%10.0—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 239$0.240.0%00.2—
P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 333$0.200.0%00.1—
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 210$0.180.0%00.2—
MP9 | Featherweight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 146$0.180.0%00.2—
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 165$0.170.0%00.2—
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 222$0.160.0%00.2—
MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 398$0.160.0%00.1—
MP9 | Featherweight (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 288$0.160.0%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 223$0.160.0%00.2—
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 195$0.150.0%00.2—
SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 877$0.150.0%00.0—
MP5-SD | Liquidation (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 9,091$0.140.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 243$0.140.0%00.1—
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 323$0.140.0%00.1—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 833$0.140.0%00.0—
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 469$0.120.0%00.1—
MP5-SD | Liquidation (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 417$0.120.0%00.1—
MP9 | Featherweight (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 141$0.120.0%00.3—
P250 | Re.built (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 472$0.120.0%00.1—
P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 241$0.120.0%00.1—
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 901$0.120.0%00.0—
SG 553 | Cyberforce (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 163$0.120.0%00.2—
Tec-9 | Rebel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 151$0.120.0%00.2—
Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 321$0.120.0%00.1—
Tec-9 | Rebel (Well-Worn)weapon · 11 in 242$0.120.0%00.1—
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/revolution, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covertpal9$4.79$33.627.02x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffCRYSTAL$4.79$0.990.21x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ffShpric$4.79$0.990.21x
P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted_ Lucifer_$4.79$0.610.13x
P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictednCaw | ..Mede$4.79$0.610.13x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedYAPEVI$4.79$0.500.10x
UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkpal9$4.79$3.560.74x
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical꧁ CRYSTAL ꧂$4.79$0.600.13x
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ffdnbneuro$4.79$0.600.13x
P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkdnbneuro$4.79$3.570.75x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$4.7992.00%68
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$4.7992.00%68
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$4.7992.00%68
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$4.7992.00%68
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$4.7992.01%68
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$4.7992.04%68
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$4.7992.00%68
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$4.7992.00%68
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$4.7992.01%68
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$4.7992.00%68
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$4.7992.08%68
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$4.7992.00%68
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$4.7992.00%68
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$4.7992.00%68
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$4.7992.04%68
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$4.7992.00%68
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$4.7992.00%68
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$4.7992.00%68
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$4.7992.00%68
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$4.7992.00%68
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$4.7992.00%68
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$4.7992.00%68
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$4.7992.00%68
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$4.7992.06%68
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$4.7992.05%68
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$4.7992.00%68
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$4.7992.08%68
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$4.7992.00%68
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$4.7992.05%68
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$4.7992.00%68
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 0.4%3 0.8%covert 3.9%extraordinary 0.1%gold 0.0%red 2.5%Ancient 1.8%Classified 4.5%pink 36.3%#8847ff 4.9%violet 8.5%restricted 8.4%Rare 7.5%milspec 13.3%#4b69ff 5.1%Mythical 1.2%Restricted 0.1%blue 0.4%Mil Spec Grade 0.2%best hit —