Tec-9

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$1.91
Advertised RTP
90.54%
EV $1.73 from 144 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.88%
654 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
100.73%±14.45560 openings
30 days
98.88%±13.39654 openings
since tracking started
98.88%±13.39654 openings
34.5%101.8%169.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h24101.70%±66.8—odds
7d560100.73%±14.4+1.4σodds
30d65498.88%±13.4+1.2σodds
All65498.88%±13.4+1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values144 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 654 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$92.210.8%00.1—
Tec-9 | Terrace (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 8,333$91.990.6%00.1—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$91.861.0%00.1—
Tec-9 | Brass (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 7,143$69.450.6%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 10,000$59.210.3%00.1—
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 5,882$59.120.6%00.1—
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 5,882$56.490.6%00.1—
Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$53.750.6%00.1—
Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$49.130.5%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare1 in 9,091$42.420.3%00.1—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 6,250$41.730.4%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 8,333$41.610.3%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,263$38.100.4%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 7,143$37.440.3%00.1—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 6,667$28.850.3%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 9,091$28.610.2%00.1—
Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 5,882$27.500.3%00.1—
Tec-9 | Hades (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 7,692$25.940.2%00.1—
Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 4,167$25.800.4%00.2—
Tec-9 | Remote Control (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$24.610.2%10.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,667$21.370.2%00.1—
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$20.830.2%20.1—
Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 5,000$19.890.2%10.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 3,333$19.810.3%00.2—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 8,333$18.770.1%10.1—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,564$17.520.4%00.3—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 8,333$17.320.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$16.780.1%10.1—
Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 2,632$16.080.4%10.2—
Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 5,000$15.850.2%00.1—
Tec-9 | Hades (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 8,333$15.510.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,556$14.880.2%10.1—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 3,030$14.590.3%00.2—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 5,556$13.930.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Hades (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 6,667$13.810.1%10.1—
Tec-9 | Hades (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 5,556$13.480.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 5,000$13.320.2%10.1—
Tec-9 | Hades (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 2,273$13.140.3%10.3—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 6,250$12.940.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 8,333$12.710.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 6,667$12.150.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$11.970.1%10.1—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 9,091$11.470.1%10.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,266$11.320.5%00.5—
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 1,299$10.800.5%10.5—
Tec-9 | Ossified (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 10,000$10.660.1%30.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 10,000$10.540.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Rust Leaf (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon1 in 5,882$10.370.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cut Out (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 6,250$10.200.1%00.1—
Tec-9 | Ossified (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 917$10.080.6%00.7—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 769$10.060.8%00.9—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 5,263$9.420.1%00.1—
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 1,010$9.070.5%00.7—
Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 398$8.811.3%21.61.21×
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 386$8.091.2%01.70.00×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 752$6.850.5%20.9—
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 495$6.470.8%11.30.75×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 350$6.471.1%31.91.60×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 424$6.270.9%31.61.93×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 294$6.151.2%32.21.34×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 412$5.820.8%21.61.25×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 427$5.560.8%21.51.30×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 376$5.250.8%41.72.29×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare1 in 276$5.041.1%22.40.84×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 289$4.871.0%32.31.32×
Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 163$4.781.7%44.00.99×
Tec-9 | Fubar (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 172$4.661.6%43.81.04×
Tec-9 | Remote Control (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 115$4.622.3%15.70.18×
Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 127$4.572.1%85.21.54×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 122$4.071.9%105.41.86×
Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 136$3.911.7%54.81.03×
Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 86$3.642.5%67.70.78×
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 65$3.292.9%710.10.69×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 73$2.992.4%108.91.12×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 70$2.982.5%109.31.07×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 57$2.732.8%2011.51.74×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 74$2.712.1%88.90.90×
Tec-9 | Isaac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 84$2.511.7%67.90.76×
Tec-9 | Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 67$2.492.2%79.80.72×
Tec-9 | Remote Control (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 61$2.362.3%1010.80.92×
Tec-9 | Avalanche (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 59$2.142.1%1611.11.44×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Flash Out (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 57$1.952.0%1011.40.87×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 49$1.922.3%2113.41.56×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 39$1.812.7%2816.91.66×
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 45$1.552.0%1914.61.30×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 56$1.491.5%611.70.51×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 43$1.442.0%1015.30.65×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare1 in 41$1.412.0%1116.10.68×
Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 70$1.381.1%59.40.53×
Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 68$1.381.2%89.70.83×
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 62$1.291.2%1310.71.22×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 85$1.270.9%127.81.55×
Tec-9 | Avalanche (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 66$1.161.0%79.90.70×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 50$1.061.2%1313.10.99×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 55$1.041.1%1512.01.25×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 52$1.041.2%1712.71.34×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 46$1.031.3%1714.31.19×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 52$0.861.0%1412.71.10×
Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 59$0.790.8%1311.21.16×
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)weapon · 11 in 45$0.781.0%1214.50.83×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 39$0.761.1%1716.81.01×
Tec-9 | VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 70$0.670.6%09.30.00×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 105$0.640.4%176.22.73×
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 95$0.640.4%166.92.31×
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 83$0.640.4%147.91.77×
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 87$0.610.4%77.60.93×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare1 in 87$0.610.4%47.50.53×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 86$0.600.4%127.71.56×
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 131$0.590.3%45.00.80×
Tec-9 | Flash Out (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 137$0.580.2%84.81.66×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 147$0.550.2%74.51.57×
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 167$0.540.2%43.91.01×
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 120$0.530.3%55.50.91×
Tec-9 | Flash Out (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 119$0.530.3%45.50.73×
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 107$0.530.3%86.11.30×
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 104$0.510.3%66.30.95×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 137$0.490.2%84.81.66×
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 147$0.470.2%24.50.45×
Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 122$0.450.2%25.40.37×
Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 105$0.440.2%16.30.16×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 117$0.430.2%65.61.07×
Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 132$0.430.2%45.00.81×
Tec-9 | Brother (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 150$0.420.2%54.41.14×
Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 150$0.420.2%44.40.91×
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 149$0.400.2%64.41.36×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 211$0.380.1%33.10.97×
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 150$0.380.1%54.41.14×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 146$0.360.1%64.51.34×
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 111$0.330.2%95.91.52×
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 123$0.320.2%35.40.56×
Tec-9 | Red Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 116$0.310.2%45.70.71×
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 105$0.310.2%46.30.64×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon1 in 133$0.310.1%34.90.61×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 117$0.310.2%65.61.07×
Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn)weapon · 11 in 144$0.290.1%54.61.09×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 239$0.280.1%42.71.46×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Flash Out (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 197$0.270.1%03.30.00×
Tec-9 | Fubar (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 94$0.260.2%47.00.57×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Flash Out (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 116$0.260.1%05.60.00×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 111$0.240.1%05.90.00×
Tec-9 | Fubar (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 115$0.200.1%05.70.00×
Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 104$0.140.1%06.30.00×
Tec-9 | VariCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 76$0.120.1%08.70.00×
Tec-9 | VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 65$0.120.1%010.10.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/tec9, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.54%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$1.9190.54%144
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$1.9190.58%144
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$1.9190.72%144
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$1.9190.68%144
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$1.9190.80%144
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$1.9190.91%144
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$1.9190.51%144
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$1.9189.67%144
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$1.9191.04%144
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$1.9190.09%144
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$1.9190.27%144
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$1.9190.71%144
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$1.9190.31%144
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$1.9190.12%144
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$1.9190.47%144
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$1.9190.81%144
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$1.9190.78%144
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$1.9190.64%144
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$1.9190.25%144
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$1.9189.97%144
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$1.9190.69%144
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$1.9190.72%144
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$1.9190.39%144
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$1.9190.45%144
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$1.9190.40%144
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$1.9191.02%144
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$1.9190.45%144
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$1.9190.73%144
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$1.9190.84%144
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$1.9190.88%144
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 2.9%classified 2.6%Mil Spec Grade 4.4%mil spec 13.6%#8847ff 1.0%restricted 23.7%Rare 4.7%Legendary 0.0%Industrial Grade 0.1%Mil Spec 2.6%industrial 6.9%Restricted 4.2%Uncommon 0.0%#d32ee6 0.1%Classified 0.0%#4b69ff 4.6%milspec 17.6%Mythical 1.4%pink 1.6%violet 6.7%other 0.8%best hit —