Twins
A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.
Price
$0.59
Advertised RTP
92.07%
EV $0.54 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
135.41%
14.9K openings, odds method
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.03% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (131.79% – 139.04%, 14,858 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
ggdrop:api/case/twins, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.07%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $0.59 | 92.07% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $0.59 | 92.06% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $0.59 | 92.08% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $0.59 | 92.07% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $0.59 | 92.04% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $0.59 | 92.01% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.59 | 92.06% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $0.59 | 92.05% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.59 | 92.06% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $0.59 | 92.06% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $0.59 | 92.04% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 15:56 UTC | $0.59 | 92.06% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 09:34 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 07:28 UTC | $0.59 | 92.05% | 50 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.59 | 92.00% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%red 0.0%restricted 6.2%classified 0.2%mil spec 21.1%milspec 14.3%Legendary 0.0%pink 0.0%Classified 0.0%Mythical 0.0%#8847ff 2.2%Rare 5.4%blueLight 1.9%violet 9.3%#4b69ff 7.3%blue 5.2%#5e98d9 20.8%industrial 5.9%best hit $40.02 (67.83x)