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A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$14.50
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.11%
129 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
68 openings · below min
30 days
129 openings · below min
since tracking started
129 openings · below min
39.5%128.0%216.5%

Small sample. 129 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h8138.33%±77.7—sample
7d6878.11%±38.0—sample
30d12981.11%±33.2—sample
All12981.11%±33.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —