Agent
A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$23.00
Advertised RTP
92.00%
EV $21.16 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.77%
89 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 89 openings and 21.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 89 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/agents, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $23.00 | 91.94% | 41 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $23.00 | 92.00% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedexceptional 9.6%red 14.2%superior 12.8%Ancient 3.3%master 9.1%pink 10.1%violet 18.0%distinguished 2.9%blue 17.8%#4b69ff 2.1%best hit —