AUG Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$4.00

Advertised RTP

87.88%

EV $3.52 from 214 items

Observed RTP, 30d

76.05%

351 openings, odds method

Variance

8.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 14

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

72.8%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

27 openings · below min

7 days

80.07%±35.02259 openings

30 days

76.05%±29.91351 openings

since tracking started

76.05%±29.91351 openings

-0.5%102.5%205.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	27	94.96%±110.1	—	odds
7d	259	80.07%±35.0	−0.4σ	odds
30d	351	76.05%±29.9	−0.8σ	odds
All	351	76.05%±29.9	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values214 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 351 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$1,289	0.4%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$715	0.2%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100,000	$525	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Midnight Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$522	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 100,000	$477	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$453	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Midnight Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$436	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Midnight Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$405	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$400	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$374	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Midnight Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 14,286	$345	0.7%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 12,500	$324	0.7%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$318	0.6%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$316	0.7%	0	0.0	—
AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 9,091	$217	0.7%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 5,556	$144	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Copperhead (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 5,882	$143	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Copperhead (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 5,556	$142	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,762	$122	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,545	$113	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$109	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$108	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Lil' Pig (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$100	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,704	$95.98	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$87.41	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,857	$71.12	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,778	$71.03	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Lil' Pig (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare	1 in 2,500	$62.43	0.7%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Lil' Pig (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 2,381	$59.40	0.7%	2	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$51.93	0.7%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Carved Jade (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,923	$48.26	0.7%	1	0.2	—
AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,887	$47.05	0.7%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,786	$44.67	0.7%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,613	$40.56	0.7%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Momentum (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,587	$39.52	0.7%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,370	$34.43	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Sand Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,316	$33.07	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,299	$32.46	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 1,282	$32.29	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,099	$27.72	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,075	$27.01	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,053	$26.34	0.7%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,020	$25.67	0.7%	1	0.3	—
AUG \| Sand Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,010	$25.56	0.7%	0	0.3	—
AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Restricted	1 in 990	$24.91	0.7%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Wings (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 935	$23.56	0.7%	0	0.4	—
AUG \| Lil' Pig (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 935	$23.49	0.7%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 901	$22.51	0.7%	0	0.4	—
AUG \| Sand Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 833	$20.88	0.7%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 826	$20.83	0.7%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 800	$20.06	0.7%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 794	$20.01	0.7%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 676	$16.99	0.7%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 633	$15.95	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 629	$15.88	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 617	$15.58	0.7%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 602	$15.21	0.7%	1	0.6	—
AUG \| Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 602	$15.18	0.7%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 585	$14.71	0.7%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 571	$14.40	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 568	$14.25	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 562	$14.16	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 559	$14.04	0.7%	1	0.6	—
AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 556	$13.94	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 541	$13.55	0.7%	0	0.6	—
AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 538	$13.52	0.7%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 538	$13.50	0.7%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 526	$13.26	0.7%	0	0.7	—
AUG \| Random Access (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 526	$13.26	0.7%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 524	$13.17	0.7%	1	0.7	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 510	$12.86	0.7%	1	0.7	—
AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 503	$12.61	0.7%	1	0.7	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 461	$11.60	0.7%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 459	$11.51	0.7%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 457	$11.47	0.7%	4	0.8	—
AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 455	$11.45	0.7%	2	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 455	$11.40	0.7%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 452	$11.36	0.7%	0	0.8	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 448	$11.28	0.7%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 446	$11.22	0.7%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 442	$11.13	0.7%	1	0.8	—
AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 442	$11.13	0.7%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 442	$11.11	0.7%	0	0.8	—
AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 417	$10.50	0.7%	0	0.8	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 415	$10.41	0.7%	1	0.8	—
AUG \| Torque (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 403	$10.13	0.7%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 403	$10.12	0.7%	0	0.9	—
AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 397	$9.98	0.7%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 377	$9.48	0.7%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 366	$9.22	0.7%	1	1.0	—
AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 353	$8.89	0.7%	1	1.0	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 348	$8.76	0.7%	1	1.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 340	$8.56	0.7%	0	1.0	0.00×
AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Factory New)weapon · uncommon	1 in 326	$8.20	0.7%	1	1.1	0.93×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 326	$8.19	0.7%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 293	$7.38	0.7%	2	1.2	1.67×
AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 290	$7.30	0.7%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 281	$7.07	0.7%	2	1.2	1.60×
AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 265	$6.66	0.7%	3	1.3	2.26×
AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 260	$6.52	0.7%	2	1.4	1.48×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 256	$6.45	0.7%	1	1.4	0.73×
AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 250	$6.28	0.7%	2	1.4	1.42×
AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 247	$6.22	0.7%	2	1.4	1.41×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 247	$6.21	0.7%	1	1.4	0.70×
AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 246	$6.19	0.7%	1	1.4	0.70×
AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 246	$6.19	0.7%	2	1.4	1.40×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 243	$6.10	0.7%	0	1.4	0.00×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 239	$6.01	0.7%	2	1.5	1.36×
AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 233	$5.86	0.7%	3	1.5	1.99×
AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 231	$5.82	0.7%	0	1.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 198	$4.99	0.7%	1	1.8	0.57×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 196	$4.93	0.7%	1	1.8	0.56×
AUG \| Condemned (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 189	$4.75	0.7%	1	1.9	0.54×
AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 187	$4.70	0.7%	3	1.9	1.60×
AUG \| Death by Puppy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 185	$4.65	0.7%	0	1.9	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 183	$4.61	0.7%	2	1.9	1.05×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 182	$4.58	0.7%	2	1.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 178	$4.47	0.7%	3	2.0	1.52×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 176	$4.42	0.7%	2	2.0	1.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 176	$4.42	0.7%	2	2.0	1.00×
AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 172	$4.31	0.7%	1	2.0	0.49×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 171	$4.29	0.7%	2	2.1	0.97×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 170	$4.27	0.7%	0	2.1	0.00×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 169	$4.25	0.7%	1	2.1	0.48×
AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 169	$4.25	0.7%	3	2.1	1.45×
AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 168	$4.21	0.7%	0	2.1	0.00×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn)weapon · 4	1 in 159	$4.00	0.7%	3	2.2	1.36×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 153	$3.85	0.7%	5	2.3	2.18×
AUG \| Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 141	$3.55	0.7%	3	2.5	1.21×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 581	$3.22	0.2%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 510	$2.82	0.2%	3	0.7	—
AUG \| Plague (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 493	$2.74	0.2%	0	0.7	—
AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 481	$2.66	0.2%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 463	$2.57	0.2%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 442	$2.46	0.2%	1	0.8	—
AUG \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 435	$2.41	0.2%	1	0.8	—
AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 398	$2.21	0.2%	1	0.9	—
AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 389	$2.16	0.2%	0	0.9	—
AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 388	$2.15	0.2%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 379	$2.10	0.2%	3	0.9	—
AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 375	$2.08	0.2%	2	0.9	—
AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 375	$2.08	0.2%	1	0.9	—
AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 372	$2.06	0.2%	2	0.9	—
AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 356	$1.98	0.2%	1	1.0	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 355	$1.97	0.2%	0	1.0	—
AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 353	$1.96	0.2%	2	1.0	—
AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 350	$1.94	0.2%	1	1.0	1.00×
AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 347	$1.93	0.2%	1	1.0	0.99×
AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 344	$1.91	0.2%	1	1.0	0.98×
AUG \| Luxe Trim (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 334	$1.86	0.2%	2	1.0	1.91×
AUG \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 324	$1.80	0.2%	1	1.1	0.92×
AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 323	$1.79	0.2%	1	1.1	0.92×
AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 299	$1.66	0.2%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 293	$1.63	0.2%	1	1.2	0.84×
AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 290	$1.61	0.2%	2	1.2	1.65×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 288	$1.60	0.2%	0	1.2	0.00×
AUG \| Spalted Wood (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 288	$1.60	0.2%	1	1.2	0.82×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 281	$1.56	0.2%	1	1.2	0.80×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 279	$1.55	0.2%	0	1.3	0.00×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 270	$1.50	0.2%	1	1.3	0.77×
AUG \| Triqua (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 260	$1.44	0.2%	1	1.4	0.74×
AUG \| Spalted Wood (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 258	$1.43	0.2%	2	1.4	1.47×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 256	$1.42	0.2%	1	1.4	0.73×
AUG \| Random Access (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 253	$1.40	0.2%	2	1.4	1.44×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 250	$1.39	0.2%	1	1.4	0.71×
AUG \| Random Access (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 243	$1.35	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
AUG \| Random Access (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	1 in 236	$1.31	0.2%	1	1.5	0.67×
AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 236	$1.31	0.2%	1	1.5	0.67×
AUG \| Spalted Wood (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 232	$1.29	0.2%	0	1.5	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · common	1 in 220	$1.22	0.2%	3	1.6	1.88×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 220	$1.22	0.2%	2	1.6	1.25×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 200	$1.11	0.2%	3	1.8	1.71×
AUG \| Spalted Wood (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial	1 in 195	$1.08	0.2%	4	1.8	2.22×
AUG \| Plague (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 191	$1.06	0.2%	3	1.8	1.63×
AUG \| Spalted Wood (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 191	$1.06	0.2%	0	1.8	0.00×
AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 182	$1.01	0.2%	2	1.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 162	$0.90	0.2%	3	2.2	1.39×
AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 148	$0.82	0.2%	0	2.4	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 130	$0.72	0.2%	0	2.7	0.00×
AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 121	$0.67	0.2%	2	2.9	0.69×
AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 121	$0.67	0.2%	1	2.9	0.34×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 121	$0.67	0.2%	4	2.9	1.38×
AUG \| Ricochet (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 112	$0.62	0.2%	5	3.1	1.59×
AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 112	$0.62	0.2%	4	3.1	1.27×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 110	$0.61	0.2%	3	3.2	0.94×
AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 110	$0.61	0.2%	4	3.2	1.25×
AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 96	$0.53	0.2%	4	3.7	1.09×
AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 94	$0.52	0.2%	3	3.7	0.80×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 94	$0.52	0.2%	6	3.7	1.60×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 92	$0.51	0.2%	5	3.8	1.31×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 90	$0.50	0.2%	4	3.9	1.03×
AUG \| Ricochet (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 87	$0.48	0.2%	7	4.1	1.73×
AUG \| Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 83	$0.46	0.2%	4	4.2	0.94×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 81	$0.45	0.2%	7	4.3	1.62×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 81	$0.45	0.2%	7	4.3	1.62×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 79	$0.44	0.2%	3	4.4	0.68×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 76	$0.42	0.2%	5	4.6	1.08×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 76	$0.42	0.2%	4	4.6	0.86×
AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 74	$0.41	0.2%	4	4.8	0.84×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 74	$0.41	0.2%	3	4.8	0.63×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 68	$0.38	0.2%	6	5.1	1.17×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 67	$0.37	0.2%	2	5.3	0.38×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 67	$0.37	0.2%	4	5.3	0.76×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 67	$0.37	0.2%	3	5.3	0.57×
AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 65	$0.36	0.2%	5	5.4	0.92×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 50	$0.28	0.2%	7	7.0	1.01×
AUG \| Triqua (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 45	$0.25	0.2%	14	7.8	1.80×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 43	$0.24	0.2%	4	8.1	0.49×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 43	$0.24	0.2%	9	8.1	1.11×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 43	$0.24	0.2%	6	8.1	0.74×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 43	$0.24	0.2%	7	8.1	0.86×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 41	$0.23	0.2%	9	8.5	1.06×
AUG \| Condemned (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 31	$0.17	0.2%	11	11.5	0.96×
AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 25	$0.14	0.2%	20	13.9	1.44×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/aug, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested)weapon · MythicalL.M$4.00$1.400.35x3h

AUG | Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil specswag$4.00$15.183.80x3h

StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecNapo$4.00$0.240.06x12h

StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedgolf5 2006$4.00$4.471.12x13h

AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9golf5 2006$4.00$0.140.04x13h

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedgolf5 2006$4.00$4.131.03x13h

StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecBIGI$4.00$0.240.06x13h

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedN'Vico$4.00$1.980.50x16h

AUG | Lil' Pig (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkc2h7fok7zh$4.00$59.4014.85x16h

StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecwjgretz$4.00$0.240.06x16h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.88%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$4.00	87.88%	214
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$4.00	88.01%	214
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$4.00	88.01%	214
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$4.00	88.10%	214
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$4.00	88.02%	214
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$4.00	87.99%	214
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$4.00	87.92%	214
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$4.00	88.02%	214
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$4.00	87.92%	214
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$4.00	87.64%	214
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$4.00	87.92%	214
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$4.00	87.97%	214

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.2%4 0.6%covert 0.2%mil spec 6.0%restricted 8.6%Classified 0.3%milspec 33.4%classified 10.0%rare 0.0%pink 1.0%Rare 4.4%uncommon 0.7%Restricted 1.0%violet 0.7%#d32ee6 1.2%Legendary 1.5%#d32ce6 0.2%industrial 6.9%#8847ff 1.9%#87c7ff 0.5%Mil Spec Grade 1.8%Mythical 1.3%#4b69ff 11.4%Uncommon 0.3%common 0.5%Industrial 0.5%#5e98d9 4.0%best hit —