Black Laminate
A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$70.00
Advertised RTP
88.00%
EV $61.60 from 94 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.38%
223 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
36.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values94 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/black-laminate, 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryKhalid Kashmiri$70.00$60.820.87x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeFlav'$70.00$51.360.73x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 94 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 94 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $70.00 | 87.99% | 94 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 94 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $70.00 | 88.02% | 94 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $70.00 | 88.01% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $70.00 | 87.99% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $70.00 | 87.96% | 93 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $70.00 | 88.00% | 93 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $58.80 | 88.01% | 93 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $58.80 | 88.00% | 93 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 41.0%covert 1.3%gold 18.6%mil spec 30.0%legendary 0.1%sunny 0.9%Covert 0.1%#ffd700 0.1%extraordinary 7.8%best hit $709 (10.13x)