Capsule 2
A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$1.30
Advertised RTP
88.00%
EV $1.14 from 17 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.60%
249 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 249 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/capsule2, 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $1.30 | 88.00% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $1.30 | 88.00% | 17 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedRemarkable 1.9%remarkable 4.8%violet 2.3%#4b69ff 46.6%High Grade 21.1%high 11.9%blue 11.4%best hit —