Echoes of Time
A case on Hellcase (trending), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
88.11%
EV $0.44 from 70 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.17%
2,360 openings, odds method
Variance
21.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values70 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,477 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/echoes-of-time, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.11%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $0.50 | 88.11% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $0.50 | 88.14% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $0.50 | 88.26% | 70 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.50 | 88.14% | 70 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $0.50 | 87.97% | 70 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $0.50 | 87.83% | 70 |
| 6 Nov, 23:48 UTC | $0.50 | 87.97% | 70 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 1.5%classified 0.1%#d32ee6 0.1%pink 0.1%industrial 19.7%#87c7ff 11.3%milspec 35.8%mil spec 7.4%consumer 1.8%Mil Spec Grade 4.2%Rare 3.7%blue 6.6%#4b69ff 2.3%Uncommon 1.5%Mil Spec 1.9%light blue 1.9%best hit $38.12 (76.24x)