Famas Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$3.20

Advertised RTP

87.96%

EV $2.81 from 232 items

Observed RTP, 30d

67.62%

257 openings, odds method

Variance

6.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 19

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

74.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

40 openings · below min

7 days

57.27%±26.33195 openings

30 days

67.62%±24.42257 openings

since tracking started

67.62%±24.42257 openings

-0.5%64.5%129.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	40	64.29%±64.7	—	odds
7d	195	57.27%±26.3	−0.6σ	odds
30d	257	67.62%±24.4	−0.2σ	odds
All	257	67.62%±24.4	−0.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values232 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 258 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$476	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$274	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$180	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$163	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$155	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Sundown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 100,000	$145	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 100,000	$142	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Sundown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 7,143	$136	0.7%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$134	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 7,692	$132	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 6,667	$121	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$120	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 6,667	$114	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 5,882	$109	0.7%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Sundown (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 5,882	$104	0.6%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 5,556	$103	0.7%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Sundown (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 5,000	$88.82	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Spitfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$88.54	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Meltdown (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,762	$85.75	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Sundown (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,762	$83.72	0.6%	1	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 4,762	$83.64	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$79.96	0.7%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,167	$74.30	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 3,704	$65.51	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$61.76	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 3,448	$61.54	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 2,778	$50.16	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Meltdown (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,632	$47.28	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 2,500	$45.56	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$45.02	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$44.96	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,500	$44.69	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,500	$44.63	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,273	$40.00	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 2,222	$39.85	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,222	$39.79	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 2,083	$37.83	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 2,083	$37.72	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$37.23	0.6%	1	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$37.23	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,961	$34.74	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,923	$34.50	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,923	$34.38	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Meltdown (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,887	$34.03	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,818	$32.72	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,818	$32.65	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,786	$31.91	0.6%	1	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 1,754	$31.49	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,754	$31.47	0.6%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 1,695	$30.20	0.6%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,538	$27.48	0.6%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,515	$27.40	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,370	$24.40	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,333	$23.99	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,333	$23.97	0.6%	1	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,333	$23.72	0.6%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Styx (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,235	$22.12	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,205	$21.67	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,205	$21.59	0.6%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Spitfire (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,190	$21.50	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,205	$21.46	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,176	$21.07	0.6%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 1,124	$20.23	0.6%	1	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Spitfire (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,111	$19.89	0.6%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,087	$19.63	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,064	$19.10	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 990	$17.89	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 990	$17.64	0.6%	0	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Spitfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 980	$17.48	0.6%	1	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 962	$17.27	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 935	$16.74	0.6%	0	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 917	$16.43	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 826	$14.78	0.6%	0	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 826	$14.76	0.6%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 800	$14.36	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 800	$14.27	0.6%	1	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 741	$13.35	0.6%	2	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 735	$13.27	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 741	$13.22	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 725	$12.99	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 709	$12.72	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 699	$12.58	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 685	$12.35	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 667	$11.93	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 667	$11.93	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 654	$11.76	0.6%	1	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 637	$11.47	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 637	$11.42	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 637	$11.42	0.6%	1	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Styx (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 621	$11.17	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 613	$11.02	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Styx (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 602	$10.83	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 595	$10.72	0.6%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 585	$10.52	0.6%	2	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 529	$9.50	0.6%	1	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 521	$9.36	0.6%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 495	$8.88	0.6%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 488	$8.75	0.6%	1	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 485	$8.69	0.6%	0	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 483	$8.66	0.6%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Hexane (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 463	$8.30	0.6%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Hexane (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 455	$8.17	0.6%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 452	$8.15	0.6%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 433	$7.75	0.6%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 433	$7.75	0.6%	1	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 418	$7.52	0.6%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 413	$7.41	0.6%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 412	$7.39	0.6%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 412	$7.37	0.6%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 408	$7.33	0.6%	1	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 405	$7.26	0.6%	2	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 392	$7.05	0.6%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 392	$7.04	0.6%	2	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 391	$7.02	0.6%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 385	$6.90	0.6%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 380	$6.84	0.6%	2	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 380	$6.81	0.6%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 368	$6.58	0.6%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Hexane (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 362	$6.51	0.6%	1	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 362	$6.49	0.6%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 358	$6.44	0.6%	0	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 355	$6.37	0.6%	1	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 353	$6.35	0.6%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 344	$6.16	0.6%	0	0.8	—
FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 334	$6.01	0.6%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 326	$5.85	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 302	$5.43	0.6%	1	0.9	—
FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 295	$5.29	0.6%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Hexane (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 294	$5.28	0.6%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 273	$4.91	0.6%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Hexane (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 268	$4.81	0.6%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 267	$4.78	0.6%	1	1.0	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 257	$4.62	0.6%	2	1.0	1.99×
FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 257	$4.61	0.6%	2	1.0	1.99×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 248	$4.44	0.6%	2	1.0	1.92×
FAMAS \| Macabre (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 244	$4.37	0.6%	2	1.1	1.89×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 240	$4.31	0.6%	0	1.1	0.00×
FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 230	$4.14	0.6%	1	1.1	0.89×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 227	$4.07	0.6%	2	1.1	1.76×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 221	$3.96	0.6%	1	1.2	0.86×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 220	$3.95	0.6%	2	1.2	1.70×
FAMAS \| Valence (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 219	$3.93	0.6%	1	1.2	0.85×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 210	$3.77	0.6%	2	1.2	1.63×
FAMAS \| Hexane (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 198	$3.55	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
FAMAS \| 2A2F (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 194	$3.48	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 189	$3.40	0.6%	2	1.4	1.47×
FAMAS \| Valence (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 189	$3.39	0.6%	2	1.4	1.46×
FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 189	$3.39	0.6%	1	1.4	0.73×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 188	$3.38	0.6%	1	1.4	0.73×
FAMAS \| Macabre (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 186	$3.33	0.6%	0	1.4	0.00×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 178	$3.19	0.6%	2	1.5	1.38×
FAMAS \| Hexane (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 173	$3.11	0.6%	1	1.5	0.67×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 173	$3.10	0.6%	0	1.5	0.00×
FAMAS \| Hexane (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 161	$2.88	0.6%	0	1.6	0.00×
FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,316	$2.76	0.1%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,250	$2.62	0.1%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,163	$2.40	0.1%	0	0.2	—
FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,136	$2.36	0.1%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,099	$2.29	0.1%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,020	$2.13	0.1%	1	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 980	$2.05	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 990	$2.05	0.1%	1	0.3	—
FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 806	$1.69	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · blue	1 in 813	$1.69	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 794	$1.66	0.1%	0	0.3	—
FAMAS \| 2A2F (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 610	$1.27	0.1%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 599	$1.25	0.1%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 575	$1.20	0.1%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Neural Net (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 571	$1.19	0.1%	2	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 571	$1.19	0.1%	1	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Neural Net (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 565	$1.18	0.1%	1	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 546	$1.14	0.1%	0	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 508	$1.06	0.1%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 498	$1.04	0.1%	2	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 495	$1.03	0.1%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 485	$1.01	0.1%	1	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Teardown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 461	$0.96	0.1%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 452	$0.94	0.1%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 442	$0.92	0.1%	0	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 403	$0.84	0.1%	1	0.6	—
FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 379	$0.79	0.1%	1	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 351	$0.73	0.1%	0	0.7	—
FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 316	$0.66	0.1%	1	0.8	—
FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 264	$0.55	0.1%	2	1.0	—
FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 249	$0.52	0.1%	0	1.0	0.00×
FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 249	$0.52	0.1%	1	1.0	0.97×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 244	$0.51	0.1%	1	1.1	0.95×
FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 240	$0.50	0.1%	2	1.1	1.86×
FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 226	$0.47	0.1%	1	1.1	0.87×
FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 226	$0.47	0.1%	0	1.1	0.00×
FAMAS \| Crypsis (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 211	$0.44	0.1%	1	1.2	0.82×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 207	$0.43	0.1%	2	1.2	1.60×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 206	$0.43	0.1%	1	1.3	0.80×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 202	$0.42	0.1%	1	1.3	0.78×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 201	$0.42	0.1%	2	1.3	1.56×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 202	$0.42	0.1%	2	1.3	1.56×
FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 197	$0.41	0.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 197	$0.41	0.1%	0	1.3	0.00×
FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 192	$0.40	0.1%	1	1.3	0.74×
FAMAS \| CaliCamo (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 168	$0.35	0.1%	1	1.5	0.65×
FAMAS \| Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 163	$0.34	0.1%	3	1.6	1.90×
FAMAS \| Crypsis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 158	$0.33	0.1%	1	1.6	0.61×
FAMAS \| Crypsis (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 149	$0.31	0.1%	4	1.7	2.31×
FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 149	$0.31	0.1%	5	1.7	2.88×
FAMAS \| 2A2F (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 134	$0.28	0.1%	1	1.9	0.52×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 134	$0.28	0.1%	3	1.9	1.56×
FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 134	$0.28	0.1%	5	1.9	2.60×
FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 115	$0.24	0.1%	1	2.2	0.45×
FAMAS \| 2A2F (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 115	$0.24	0.1%	2	2.2	0.89×
FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 110	$0.23	0.1%	4	2.3	1.71×
FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 110	$0.23	0.1%	2	2.3	0.86×
FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 106	$0.22	0.1%	1	2.4	0.41×
FAMAS \| 2A2F (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 106	$0.22	0.1%	1	2.4	0.41×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 101	$0.21	0.1%	1	2.6	0.39×
FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 96	$0.20	0.1%	3	2.7	1.12×
FAMAS \| Teardown (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 86	$0.18	0.1%	3	3.0	1.00×
FAMAS \| Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 82	$0.17	0.1%	5	3.2	1.58×
FAMAS \| Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 82	$0.17	0.1%	2	3.2	0.63×
FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 82	$0.17	0.1%	6	3.2	1.90×
FAMAS \| Halftone Wash (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 77	$0.16	0.1%	4	3.4	1.19×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 67	$0.14	0.1%	3	3.8	0.78×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 62	$0.13	0.1%	5	4.1	1.21×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 58	$0.12	0.1%	6	4.5	1.34×
FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 58	$0.12	0.1%	7	4.5	1.56×
FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 38	$0.08	0.1%	6	6.7	0.89×
FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 38	$0.08	0.1%	5	6.7	0.74×
FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue	1 in 29	$0.06	0.1%	7	9.0	0.78×
FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 29	$0.06	0.1%	7	9.0	0.78×
FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	12	13.4	0.89×
FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	18	13.4	1.34×
FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	7	13.4	0.52×
FAMAS \| Grey Ghost (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 14	$0.03	0.1%	16	17.9	0.89×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/famas, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

FAMAS | Half Sleeve (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialL.M$3.20$0.040.01x3h

FAMAS | Crypsis (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specbongomurzynkongo$3.20$0.310.10x6h

FAMAS | Teardown (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecbongomurzynkongo$3.20$0.180.06x6h

FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialbongomurzynkongo$3.20$0.230.07x10h

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedbongomurzynkongo$3.20$6.842.14x10h

FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialTH3ODOS1US$3.20$0.040.01x10h

FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialTH3ODOS1US$3.20$0.080.02x10h

FAMAS | Halftone Wash (Well-Worn)weapon · industrialtrofeci$3.20$0.160.05x11h

FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested)weapon · violetKW1AT$3.20$11.423.57x11h

FAMAS | Spitfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedMakakV1$3.20$17.685.52x12h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$3.20	87.96%	232
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$3.20	87.97%	232
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$3.20	87.98%	232
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$3.20	87.99%	232
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$3.20	88.00%	232
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$3.20	88.02%	232
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$3.20	87.98%	232
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$3.20	88.01%	232
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$3.20	87.80%	232
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$3.20	87.98%	232
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$3.20	88.04%	232

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 7.2%covert 0.2%classified 3.8%#4b69ff 6.6%Legendary 0.2%milspec 18.7%#8847ff 2.5%red 0.0%violet 0.4%Mil Spec Grade 0.0%blue 0.4%mil spec 10.9%#eb4b4b 0.0%Classified 0.3%pink 1.6%Restricted 0.2%#d32ee6 0.4%Mythical 0.9%#87c7ff 0.2%industrial 26.5%Rare 0.6%Uncommon 9.0%#5e98d9 0.7%light blue 3.5%Industrial 5.2%best hit —