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Hydra

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$6.50
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.27%
145 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
30 openings · below min
7 days
135 openings · below min
30 days
145 openings · below min
since tracking started
145 openings · below min
61.5%86.5%111.5%

Small sample. 145 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3067.45%±2.03—sample
7d13586.39%±24.4—sample
30d14586.27%±22.9—sample
All14586.27%±22.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeMaracuja$6.50$4.990.77x
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffZoZ1k$6.50$4.860.75x
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Raredario$6.50$4.240.65x
MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grademarz$6.50$4.270.66x
M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested)weapon · bluemarz$6.50$4.900.75x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecmarz$6.50$4.070.63x
MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specmarz$6.50$3.980.61x
FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specmarz$6.50$4.610.71x
UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1marz$6.50$4.100.63x
USP-S | Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specmarz$6.50$4.610.71x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —