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Izako Boars Case

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$5.75
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
137.79%
168 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
11 openings · below min
7 days
140 openings · below min
30 days
168 openings · below min
since tracking started
168 openings · below min
30.5%138.0%245.5%

Small sample. 168 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1162.89%±31.6—sample
7d140147.15%±97.8—sample
30d168137.79%±82.6—sample
All168137.79%±82.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New)weapon · covert!Z!Y!$5.75$36062.69x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecVimeR$5.75$1.640.29x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffVimeR$5.75$3.960.69x
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec GradeGENEZYZZZ$5.75$1.660.29x
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specBulken$5.75$1.710.30x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil specFokusn1k бля$5.75$1.750.30x
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specFokusn1k бля$5.75$3.930.68x
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffButt_Fcker_5000$5.75$3.960.69x
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedButt_Fcker_5000$5.75$3.620.63x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecButt_Fcker_5000$5.75$1.640.29x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedMedianBen$5.75$12.292.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $360 (62.69x)