Kraken

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$2.90

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

87.02%

243 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

27 openings · below min

7 days

187 openings · below min

30 days

243 openings · below min

since tracking started

243 openings · below min

39.0%86.8%134.5%

Small sample. 243 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	27	54.92%±15.1	—	sample
7d	187	93.91%±40.0	—	sample
30d	243	87.02%±31.0	—	sample
All	243	87.02%±31.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueZaoce$2.90$0.610.21x2h

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetmano_cilas$2.90$2.040.70x2h

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueCptCrack$2.90$0.610.21x3h

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specCptCrack$2.90$0.370.13x3h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspecCptCrack$2.90$0.720.25x3h

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecBAŻYN$2.90$0.400.14x5h

Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffGâfu Din Romania$2.90$2.360.81x8h

XM1014 | Seasons (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violetGâfu Din Romania$2.90$1.760.61x8h

AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blueGâfu Din Romania$2.90$2.120.73x8h

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedGâfu Din Romania$2.90$2.430.84x8h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —