Masamune Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$149.00
Advertised RTP
91.00%
EV $135.59 from 316 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.09%
29 openings, odds method
Variance
0.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
59.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
1 openings · below min
7 days
23 openings · below min
30 days
29 openings · below min
since tracking started
29 openings · below min
-0.5%87.8%176.0%

Small sample. 29 openings and 9.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h183.96%±91.5—odds
7d2389.15%±19.3—odds
30d2991.09%±17.2—odds
All2991.09%±17.2—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values316 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 676$4880.5%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 633$4560.5%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 621$4450.5%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 562$4020.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 526$3800.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 521$3750.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 498$3580.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 461$3310.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 435$3120.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 429$3090.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 429$3090.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 424$3050.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 413$2980.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 408$2940.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 407$2920.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 398$2870.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 395$2840.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 394$2830.5%10.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 392$2810.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 391$2810.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 386$2770.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 383$2760.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 379$2720.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 364$2620.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 360$2590.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 358$2570.5%10.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 357$2570.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 347$2500.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · rare1 in 346$2490.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 342$2460.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 342$2460.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 336$2410.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 332$2390.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 327$2350.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 327$2350.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 326$2340.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 323$2310.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 321$2310.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 317$2290.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 312$2240.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 304$2190.5%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 293$2110.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 291$2090.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 291$2090.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 286$2060.5%20.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 287$2060.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 283$2040.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 282$2030.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 281$2020.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 280$2010.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 277$1990.5%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 277$1990.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 275$1980.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 272$1950.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 270$1940.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 269$1930.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 266$1910.5%10.1—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 264$1900.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 263$1890.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 261$1880.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 261$1880.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 258$1850.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 258$1850.5%10.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 256$1840.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 256$1830.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 253$1820.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 253$1820.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 251$1810.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 251$1800.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 250$1790.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 249$1790.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 248$1780.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 247$1770.5%10.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 245$1760.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 243$1750.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 243$1750.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 242$1740.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert1 in 242$1740.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 238$1710.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 238$1710.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · rare1 in 238$1700.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 236$1700.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 234$1680.5%10.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 233$1680.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 233$1670.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 231$1670.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 231$1660.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 230$1650.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 230$1650.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 230$1650.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 230$1650.5%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 228$1640.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 228$1640.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 225$1620.5%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 224$1610.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 224$1610.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 221$1590.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 220$1580.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 219$1580.5%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 218$1570.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad KnifeStatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 218$1560.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 217$1560.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 216$1560.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 216$1550.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 214$1540.5%10.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 213$1530.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 213$1530.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 213$1530.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 212$1530.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 212$1530.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knifeknife · covert1 in 211$1520.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 211$1520.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 210$1510.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 208$1490.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 207$1490.5%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 205$1470.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 204$1470.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 204$1470.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 203$1460.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 202$1450.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · Covert1 in 202$1450.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 202$1450.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 201$1440.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 200$1440.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 200$1440.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 199$1430.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 197$1420.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 196$1410.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 195$1400.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 194$1400.5%00.1—
★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · Covert1 in 194$1400.5%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 194$1390.5%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 193$1390.5%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 192$1380.5%10.2—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 191$1370.5%00.2—
★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 191$1370.5%00.2—
★ Nomad Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 190$1360.5%00.2—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 641$1330.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 637$1320.2%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 629$1310.2%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 629$1310.2%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 625$1290.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 621$1280.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 606$1260.2%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 602$1250.2%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 595$1240.2%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 595$1230.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 595$1230.2%00.0—
★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 588$1220.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 588$1220.2%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 585$1210.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 585$1210.2%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 581$1210.2%00.0—
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 581$1200.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 578$1200.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 578$1200.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 578$1200.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 575$1190.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 568$1180.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 568$1180.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 565$1170.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 565$1170.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 562$1160.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 552$1150.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 552$1140.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 546$1130.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 546$1130.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 543$1130.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 538$1120.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 538$1120.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 538$1110.2%10.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 538$1110.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 535$1110.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 526$1090.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 524$1090.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 518$1070.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 515$1070.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd7001 in 515$1070.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 510$1060.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 505$1050.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 490$1020.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 490$1010.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 490$1010.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 488$1010.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 488$1010.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 485$1010.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 483$1000.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal1 in 481$99.680.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 478$98.860.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 474$98.270.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 472$97.780.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 469$97.310.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 469$97.160.2%10.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 463$96.050.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 463$96.000.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 461$95.830.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · Covert1 in 459$95.330.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 459$94.830.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 457$94.770.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 457$94.450.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 457$94.370.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 455$94.360.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 455$94.240.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 452$93.930.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 452$93.890.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 455$93.890.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 450$93.630.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 450$93.460.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 450$93.300.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 450$93.250.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 448$92.810.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 446$92.510.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 444$92.220.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 444$91.900.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 442$91.800.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 441$91.600.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 433$89.530.2%00.1—
★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 431$89.400.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 426$88.250.2%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 418$86.590.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 415$86.030.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 415$85.900.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 408$84.770.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 408$84.660.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 408$84.390.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 400$82.850.2%10.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 398$82.790.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 398$82.590.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 397$82.380.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 394$81.570.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 391$80.700.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 379$78.690.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 379$78.410.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 377$78.170.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 376$77.880.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 373$77.150.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 368$76.180.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 365$75.700.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 365$75.480.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 357$73.990.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 357$73.800.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 353$73.290.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 351$72.720.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 350$72.260.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 348$72.220.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 346$71.630.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 345$71.600.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 345$71.420.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 341$70.570.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 340$70.430.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 337$69.640.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knifeknife · covert1 in 333$68.920.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knifeknife · Immortal1 in 331$68.630.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 330$68.430.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 329$68.210.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 329$68.160.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 328$68.050.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 323$66.840.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 321$66.530.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 321$66.290.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 316$65.590.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 316$65.510.2%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 316$65.480.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 313$64.860.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 313$64.840.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 311$64.400.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 307$63.590.2%10.1—
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 306$63.480.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 306$63.480.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 304$63.060.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 304$62.990.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 303$62.890.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 303$62.670.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 299$61.950.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 298$61.720.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd7001 in 298$61.710.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 296$61.330.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 295$61.060.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 295$61.050.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 293$60.730.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · rare1 in 292$60.610.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 292$60.560.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 292$60.410.2%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · #ffd7001 in 290$60.020.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 289$59.810.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 288$59.620.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 287$59.320.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 286$59.270.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal1 in 285$59.130.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 285$59.040.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 285$59.000.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 282$58.510.2%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 268$55.620.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 267$55.380.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 266$55.140.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 266$55.120.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 265$54.820.2%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 263$54.530.2%10.1—
★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 262$54.220.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 261$54.110.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 258$53.380.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 257$53.310.2%10.1—
★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 256$52.960.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 255$52.860.2%10.1—
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal1 in 255$52.850.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 254$52.720.2%10.1—
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 254$52.640.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 253$52.520.2%10.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · Covert1 in 253$52.420.2%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 248$51.340.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 244$50.600.2%00.1—
★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 243$50.440.2%10.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 242$50.200.2%00.1—
★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 241$50.000.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 234$48.530.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 228$47.230.2%00.1—
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/masamune, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC$14991.00%316
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC$14991.00%316
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC$14991.00%316
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC$14991.00%316
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC$14991.00%316
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC$14991.00%316
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC$14991.00%316
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC$14991.00%316
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC$14991.00%316
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC$14991.00%316
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC$14991.00%316
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC$14991.00%316
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 63.2%epic 0.3%covert 22.2%gold 7.2%rare 1.9%Covert 2.8%#ffd700 1.2%Immortal 1.3%best hit —