New Beginning

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$1.00

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

81.16%

3,707 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

473 openings · below min

7 days

81.42%±7.072,888 openings

30 days

81.16%±6.063,707 openings

since tracking started

81.16%±6.063,707 openings

62.0%80.8%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	473	80.77%±17.9	—	sample
7d	2,888	81.42%±7.07	—	sample
30d	3,707	81.16%±6.06	—	sample
All	3,707	81.16%±6.06	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedᴳᵒᵈ⭐G -tnt-⭐$1.00$58.6158.61x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69fflegendarism$1.00$0.650.65x10m

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspechugodozo38$1.00$0.220.22x10m

Galil AR | Connexion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffhugodozo38$1.00$0.500.50x10m

SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspechugodozo38$1.00$0.090.09x10m

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedhugodozo38$1.00$1.131.13x10m

SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested)weapon · blueMilmoicoii$1.00$0.140.14x11m

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueMilmoicoii$1.00$0.260.26x12m

SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecSEM MIMIMI SKINS$1.00$0.090.09x12m

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffSEM MIMIMI SKINS$1.00$2.882.88x12m

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ffUtopicUnicorn$1.00$0.920.92x12m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $58.61 (58.61x)