New Knives

A case on Hellcase (knives), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$175.00
Advertised RTP
86.00%
EV $150.51 from 382 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.83%
13 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
1 openings · below min
7 days
8 openings · below min
30 days
13 openings · below min
since tracking started
13 openings · below min
-0.5%116.0%232.5%

Small sample. 13 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1106.74%±125.3—odds
7d872.12%±44.6—odds
30d1394.83%±35.0—odds
All1394.83%±35.0—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values382 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 1,493$8240.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,449$7960.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,370$7600.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,299$7180.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,176$6490.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 1,124$6140.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 1,099$6040.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 1,087$5990.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,053$5800.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,053$5800.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 980$5390.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 917$5020.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 901$4970.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 893$4880.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 893$4880.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 877$4830.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 870$4790.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 870$4790.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 870$4780.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 870$4750.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 862$4740.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 862$4700.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 833$4570.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 826$4540.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 813$4460.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 813$4440.4%10.0—
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 806$4430.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 806$4430.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 794$4350.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 763$4220.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 763$4190.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 758$4180.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 752$4140.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 746$4130.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 752$4110.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 735$4030.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 730$4010.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 730$4010.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knifeknife · covert1 in 719$3960.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 719$3950.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 714$3920.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 714$3920.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 709$3890.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 699$3840.4%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 694$3810.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 690$3760.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 676$3720.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 676$3700.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 662$3660.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 667$3650.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 662$3640.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 649$3580.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 649$3550.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert1 in 641$3520.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 641$3510.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 637$3490.4%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 637$3490.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 633$3470.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 625$3420.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 617$3380.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 606$3320.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 602$3320.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 602$3320.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 602$3310.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 588$3230.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 585$3210.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 575$3160.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 575$3150.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 571$3150.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 568$3120.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 565$3100.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 562$3100.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 556$3050.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 552$3040.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 546$3010.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 549$3010.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 541$2970.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 538$2960.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 535$2940.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 532$2930.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 532$2920.4%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 526$2880.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 524$2870.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 521$2860.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 521$2860.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 515$2830.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 513$2820.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 510$2810.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 510$2800.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 505$2780.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 503$2760.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 498$2730.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 495$2720.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 490$2690.4%10.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 485$2660.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 481$2650.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 478$2630.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 478$2620.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 476$2600.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 474$2600.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 472$2600.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 459$2530.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 459$2520.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 459$2510.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 455$2510.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 457$2500.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 455$2490.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 448$2470.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · rare1 in 446$2450.4%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 444$2450.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 441$2410.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 433$2380.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 429$2360.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 429$2360.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 426$2340.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 427$2340.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 418$2310.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 415$2280.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 415$2280.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 413$2270.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 412$2260.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 407$2240.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 407$2230.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 407$2230.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 400$2200.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 398$2190.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 398$2190.4%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 395$2170.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 397$2170.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knifeknife · covert1 in 394$2160.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 388$2130.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 382$2090.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 380$2090.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 379$2080.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 379$2080.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 376$2070.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 376$2060.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 376$2060.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 375$2060.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · Covert1 in 370$2030.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 364$2000.4%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 357$1960.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 356$1950.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 356$1950.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 353$1940.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 347$1910.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 346$1900.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 346$1900.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 344$1890.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 342$1880.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 341$1880.4%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 340$1870.4%10.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 339$1860.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 330$1810.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 329$1800.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 327$1790.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 325$1780.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 323$1770.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · gold1 in 318$1750.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 318$1750.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 317$1740.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 315$1740.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 316$1730.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 315$1730.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 312$1710.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 312$1710.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · #ffd7001 in 312$1710.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 311$1710.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 308$1690.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 307$1680.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 302$1660.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 297$1630.4%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 297$1630.4%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 295$1620.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 292$1600.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 287$1580.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 287$1570.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 283$1560.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 283$1560.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 283$1550.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 282$1550.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 282$1550.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 282$1550.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 276$1520.4%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 275$1510.4%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 275$1510.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 610$1500.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 606$1500.2%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 606$1490.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 606$1490.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 592$1470.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 592$1460.2%00.0—
★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 588$1450.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 588$1450.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 578$1430.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 578$1420.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covert knife1 in 568$1400.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · rare1 in 568$1400.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 552$1370.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 552$1360.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 546$1340.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 543$1340.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 541$1330.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 532$1310.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 532$1310.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 524$1300.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 524$1290.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 521$1290.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 513$1270.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 513$1260.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 508$1260.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 505$1240.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 503$1240.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 503$1240.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 500$1240.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 493$1220.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 488$1200.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 481$1190.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 476$1180.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 476$1170.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert1 in 472$1160.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 465$1150.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 459$1130.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal1 in 452$1120.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 450$1110.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 448$1100.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 448$1100.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 439$1080.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 439$1080.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 433$1070.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 433$1070.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 429$1060.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 427$1050.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 426$1050.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 422$1040.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 422$1040.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 420$1040.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 418$1030.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 415$1020.2%10.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 415$1020.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 410$1010.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 403$99.350.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 403$99.120.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 400$98.780.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 395$97.460.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 394$97.250.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 394$97.090.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 392$96.940.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 394$96.870.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 389$95.930.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 389$95.920.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 385$94.910.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 382$94.150.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 380$94.050.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 382$93.970.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 380$93.630.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 377$92.960.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 376$92.960.2%10.0—
★ Ursus Knifeknife · covert1 in 372$91.880.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · #ffd7001 in 372$91.490.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 370$91.280.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 370$91.270.2%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 370$91.210.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 368$90.650.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 365$89.970.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 364$89.780.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 362$89.390.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 361$89.100.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 360$88.680.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 358$88.400.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 358$88.190.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 356$88.000.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 356$87.890.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 355$87.520.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 351$86.490.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 347$85.740.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 347$85.680.2%10.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 346$85.360.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 342$84.520.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 341$84.390.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 341$84.180.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 340$84.070.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 336$82.860.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 333$82.330.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 334$82.320.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 331$81.460.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 329$81.130.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 328$80.940.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 328$80.860.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 327$80.740.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 327$80.610.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 326$80.510.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 326$80.270.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 325$80.020.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 324$79.960.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 324$79.790.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 324$79.760.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 324$79.690.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 322$79.300.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 321$79.200.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 321$79.120.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 321$79.070.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 321$79.030.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 319$79.000.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 317$78.350.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 316$78.050.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 315$77.910.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 314$77.560.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 313$77.470.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · rare1 in 313$77.130.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 313$77.090.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 313$77.060.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 313$77.040.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 309$76.270.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 309$76.100.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 307$75.590.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 302$74.530.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 299$73.620.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 295$72.740.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 295$72.720.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 294$72.610.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 294$72.410.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 286$70.450.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 285$70.340.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 284$70.180.2%10.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 283$69.770.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 283$69.740.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal1 in 282$69.540.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 280$69.160.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 279$68.910.2%10.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 278$68.590.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 278$68.540.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 275$68.010.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja KnifeStatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 275$67.910.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 275$67.730.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 272$67.090.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 271$66.750.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 269$66.350.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 267$65.930.2%00.0—
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 267$65.880.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 265$65.500.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 265$65.190.2%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 262$64.840.2%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 257$63.380.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 256$63.250.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 256$63.110.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife1 in 253$62.380.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 251$61.870.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 249$61.410.2%00.1—
★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 247$60.970.2%00.1—
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 246$60.600.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 240$59.120.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 226$55.720.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 226$55.610.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 225$55.550.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 225$55.550.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 224$55.140.2%10.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 223$54.980.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 222$54.710.2%00.1—
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 218$53.780.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knifeknife · covert1 in 217$53.630.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 217$53.610.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 214$52.730.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · gold1 in 208$51.250.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 207$51.160.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 207$51.150.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal1 in 207$51.080.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)knife · gold1 in 204$50.200.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 204$50.190.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal1 in 202$49.940.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · #ffd7001 in 201$49.630.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 200$49.520.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 200$49.460.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 198$49.010.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 197$48.610.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 197$48.530.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold1 in 196$48.470.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 196$48.430.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 196$48.280.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 195$47.990.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 193$47.690.2%00.1—
★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 191$47.230.2%00.1—
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/newknives, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC$17586.00%382
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC$17586.00%382
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC$17586.00%382
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC$17586.00%382
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC$17586.00%382
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC$17586.00%382
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC$17586.00%382
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC$17586.00%382
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC$17585.99%382
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC$17585.95%382
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC$17586.00%382
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC$17586.00%382
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.1%covert 29.0%epic 0.1%covert knife 57.7%sunny 0.5%Covert 2.7%gold 5.6%rare 0.7%Immortal 2.0%#ffd700 1.6%best hit —