Not A Ghost

A case on Hellcase (event), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$2.00

Advertised RTP

88.01%

EV $1.76 from 140 items

Observed RTP, 30d

87.91%

20.2K openings, odds method

Variance

4.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.1%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

71.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

93.62%±10.051,697 openings

7 days

88.11%±3.2116.7K openings

30 days

87.91%±2.9220.2K openings

since tracking started

87.91%±2.9220.2K openings

83.0%93.8%104.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,697	93.62%±10.0	+1.1σ	odds
7d	16.7K	88.11%±3.21	+0.1σ	odds
30d	20.2K	87.91%±2.92	−0.1σ	odds
All	20.2K	87.91%±2.92	−0.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values140 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,348	$124	1.6%	4	4.7	0.86×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 2,703	$76.27	1.6%	7	7.5	0.94×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,439	$68.35	1.6%	11	8.3	1.33×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,818	$50.49	1.6%	20	11.1	1.80×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,639	$46.49	1.6%	11	12.3	0.89×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,471	$40.64	1.6%	10	13.7	0.73×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified	1 in 1,163	$32.36	1.6%	14	17.4	0.81×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 926	$25.80	1.6%	29	21.8	1.33×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 909	$25.46	1.6%	24	22.2	1.08×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 775	$21.66	1.6%	24	26.1	0.92×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 735	$20.56	1.6%	28	27.5	1.02×
StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 552	$15.39	1.6%	30	36.6	0.82×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 510	$14.24	1.6%	36	39.6	0.91×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 461	$12.88	1.6%	33	43.9	0.75×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 365	$10.20	1.6%	43	55.4	0.78×
StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 328	$9.17	1.6%	60	61.7	0.97×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 308	$8.59	1.6%	68	65.7	1.03×
AWP \| PAW (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 295	$8.26	1.6%	72	68.5	1.05×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 273	$7.64	1.6%	79	74.0	1.07×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 269	$7.51	1.6%	87	75.2	1.16×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 258	$7.23	1.6%	84	78.2	1.07×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 226	$6.31	1.6%	85	89.6	0.95×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 220	$6.16	1.6%	90	91.8	0.98×
StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 215	$6.00	1.6%	112	94.2	1.19×
StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 213	$5.96	1.6%	86	94.8	0.91×
StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 211	$5.92	1.6%	95	95.6	0.99×
MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 174	$4.87	1.6%	117	116.1	1.01×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 155	$4.33	1.6%	127	130.6	0.97×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 153	$4.28	1.6%	124	132.0	0.94×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 150	$4.20	1.6%	99	134.7	0.74×
AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 143	$4.00	1.6%	153	141.3	1.08×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 136	$3.81	1.6%	138	148.4	0.93×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 129	$3.62	1.6%	159	156.3	1.02×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 120	$3.37	1.6%	190	167.8	1.13×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 107	$3.00	1.6%	190	188.4	1.01×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 106	$2.98	1.6%	195	189.9	1.03×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 105	$2.95	1.6%	168	191.7	0.88×
AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 91	$2.55	1.6%	216	221.8	0.97×
AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 90	$2.51	1.6%	208	225.2	0.92×
AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 89	$2.48	1.6%	187	228.1	0.82×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 88	$2.46	1.6%	248	229.9	1.08×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 88	$2.45	1.6%	239	230.7	1.04×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 87	$2.43	1.6%	213	232.7	0.92×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 87	$2.42	1.6%	238	233.5	1.02×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 86	$2.40	1.6%	251	235.8	1.06×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 84	$2.35	1.6%	260	240.6	1.08×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 74	$2.08	1.6%	252	271.9	0.93×
P250 \| Valence (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 72	$2.02	1.6%	278	280.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 72	$2.02	1.6%	289	280.0	1.03×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 69	$1.93	1.6%	320	293.0	1.09×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 68	$1.90	1.6%	289	297.6	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 68	$1.90	1.6%	319	297.6	1.07×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 65	$1.83	1.6%	223	308.9	0.72×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 65	$1.82	1.6%	309	310.8	0.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 581	$1.69	0.2%	39	34.8	1.12×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · blue	1 in 581	$1.69	0.2%	34	34.8	0.98×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 549	$1.60	0.2%	39	36.8	1.06×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 549	$1.60	0.2%	42	36.8	1.14×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 546	$1.58	0.2%	45	37.0	1.22×
MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 518	$1.51	0.2%	27	39.0	0.69×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 495	$1.44	0.2%	57	40.8	1.40×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 478	$1.39	0.2%	38	42.3	0.90×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 469	$1.36	0.2%	44	43.1	1.02×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 415	$1.21	0.2%	49	48.7	1.01×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 413	$1.20	0.2%	34	48.9	0.69×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 413	$1.20	0.2%	50	48.9	1.02×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 413	$1.20	0.2%	48	48.9	0.98×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 413	$1.20	0.2%	63	48.9	1.29×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 410	$1.19	0.2%	42	49.3	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted	1 in 400	$1.16	0.2%	55	50.5	1.09×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 392	$1.14	0.2%	47	51.6	0.91×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Featherweight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 392	$1.14	0.2%	61	51.6	1.18×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 385	$1.12	0.2%	52	52.6	0.99×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 386	$1.12	0.2%	52	52.4	0.99×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 386	$1.12	0.2%	34	52.4	0.65×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 379	$1.10	0.2%	59	53.4	1.11×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 372	$1.08	0.2%	52	54.4	0.96×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 369	$1.07	0.2%	61	54.8	1.11×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 365	$1.06	0.2%	60	55.4	1.08×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 357	$1.04	0.2%	62	56.6	1.10×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 353	$1.03	0.2%	59	57.2	1.03×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 355	$1.03	0.2%	66	57.0	1.16×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 344	$1.00	0.2%	51	58.8	0.87×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 334	$0.97	0.2%	67	60.5	1.11×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 316	$0.92	0.2%	69	63.9	1.08×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 307	$0.89	0.2%	64	65.9	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 303	$0.88	0.2%	59	66.7	0.88×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 297	$0.86	0.2%	65	68.1	0.95×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 286	$0.83	0.2%	64	70.8	0.90×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 282	$0.82	0.2%	61	71.6	0.85×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 275	$0.80	0.2%	76	73.4	1.04×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 272	$0.79	0.2%	68	74.2	0.92×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 272	$0.79	0.2%	69	74.2	0.93×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 268	$0.78	0.2%	73	75.4	0.97×
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 265	$0.77	0.2%	75	76.2	0.98×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 262	$0.76	0.2%	63	77.2	0.82×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 261	$0.76	0.2%	81	77.4	1.05×
MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 254	$0.74	0.2%	83	79.5	1.04×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 255	$0.74	0.2%	74	79.3	0.93×
P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 255	$0.74	0.2%	75	79.3	0.95×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 251	$0.73	0.2%	93	80.5	1.16×
Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 251	$0.73	0.2%	88	80.5	1.09×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 251	$0.73	0.2%	92	80.5	1.14×
MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 248	$0.72	0.2%	81	81.5	0.99×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 248	$0.72	0.2%	93	81.7	1.14×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 241	$0.70	0.2%	94	83.9	1.12×
MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 231	$0.67	0.2%	76	87.5	0.87×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 230	$0.67	0.2%	96	87.8	1.09×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 231	$0.67	0.2%	112	87.5	1.28×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 224	$0.65	0.2%	80	90.4	0.89×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 189	$0.55	0.2%	103	106.8	0.96×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 189	$0.55	0.2%	123	106.8	1.15×
StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 186	$0.54	0.2%	100	108.8	0.92×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 165	$0.48	0.2%	123	122.3	1.01×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 162	$0.47	0.2%	116	125.0	0.93×
StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 148	$0.43	0.2%	135	136.7	0.99×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 148	$0.43	0.2%	134	136.7	0.98×
P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 138	$0.40	0.2%	151	146.8	1.03×
P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 127	$0.37	0.2%	171	158.9	1.08×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 127	$0.37	0.2%	174	158.7	1.10×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 124	$0.36	0.2%	180	163.2	1.10×
P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 120	$0.35	0.2%	170	167.8	1.01×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 114	$0.33	0.2%	177	177.9	0.99×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 114	$0.33	0.2%	184	177.9	1.03×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 96	$0.28	0.2%	240	209.9	1.14×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Featherweight (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 76	$0.22	0.2%	228	266.9	0.85×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 72	$0.21	0.2%	285	279.8	1.02×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 62	$0.18	0.2%	277	326.3	0.85×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 48	$0.14	0.2%	436	419.5	1.04×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 48	$0.14	0.2%	418	419.5	1.00×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 45	$0.13	0.2%	459	451.7	1.02×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 41	$0.12	0.2%	462	489.3	0.94×
FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 41	$0.12	0.2%	559	489.5	1.14×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 41	$0.12	0.2%	461	489.5	0.94×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 41	$0.12	0.2%	538	489.5	1.10×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 34	$0.10	0.2%	595	587.4	1.01×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Featherweight (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 34	$0.10	0.2%	537	587.4	0.91×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Featherweight (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 34	$0.10	0.2%	607	587.4	1.03×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 31	$0.09	0.2%	684	652.5	1.05×
MP9 \| Featherweight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 31	$0.09	0.2%	638	652.7	0.98×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/not-a-ghost, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedSongoku.1$2.00$12461.76x16h

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedleo_jackson808$2.00$12461.76x1d

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedKamds$2.00$12461.76x3d

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified𝙆𝙄𝘽𝙊𝙎𝙃𝙄$2.00$12461.76x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedTruemperor$2.00$3.811.91x54s

StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · RareTruemperor$2.00$2.951.48x54s

StatTrak™ MP9 | Featherweight (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspeccameronwilson645$2.00$0.100.05x2m

Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restrictedleslie.baker11$2.00$1.160.58x3m

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspecfrank_carter873$2.00$1.930.97x5m

StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecfrank_carter873$2.00$1.830.92x5m

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecsouthasianmf$2.00$0.140.07x5m

FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecTruemperor$2.00$0.120.06x5m

MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecTruemperor$2.00$0.100.05x5m

P250 | Valence (Factory New)weapon · milspecsergio_wright83$2.00$2.021.01x6m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.01%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$2.00	88.01%	140
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$2.00	88.01%	140
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$2.00	87.91%	140
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$2.00	88.00%	140
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$2.00	88.00%	140
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$2.00	88.00%	140
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$2.00	88.03%	140
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$2.00	87.99%	140
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$2.00	88.03%	140
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$2.00	88.00%	140
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$2.00	88.01%	140

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.6%Classified 0.1%Legendary 0.1%mil spec 17.8%Mythical 5.6%milspec 32.9%Rare 2.6%restricted 12.3%#8847ff 2.0%Restricted 2.5%blue 3.9%Mil Spec Grade 4.3%#4b69ff 14.0%Mil Spec 1.3%best hit $124 (61.76x)