P90 Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$3.00

Advertised RTP

87.95%

EV $2.64 from 290 items

Observed RTP, 30d

62.47%

272 openings, odds method

Variance

6.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 16

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

77.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

46 openings · below min

7 days

61.39%±34.82218 openings

30 days

62.47%±31.19272 openings

since tracking started

62.47%±31.19272 openings

-0.5%66.8%134.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	46	57.78%±75.5	—	odds
7d	218	61.39%±34.8	−1.5σ	odds
30d	272	62.47%±31.2	−1.6σ	odds
All	272	62.47%±31.2	−1.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values290 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 272 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$635	0.2%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$557	0.2%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$521	0.2%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$396	0.2%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 100,000	$356	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$337	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$309	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 100,000	$299	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$266	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$266	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$229	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$228	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$213	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$212	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$190	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$183	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$174	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$147	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Run and Hide (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$137	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Run and Hide (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$129	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$126	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Run and Hide (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 7,692	$119	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 7,143	$110	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$106	0.6%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$102	0.6%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$101	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$93.66	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 5,556	$88.65	0.6%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$66.23	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 4,000	$64.58	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 3,846	$59.89	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,226	$50.77	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$50.65	0.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,941	$46.78	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,439	$39.08	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,381	$38.08	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Baroque Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 2,326	$37.39	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Baroque Red (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,174	$34.80	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Baroque Red (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,083	$33.61	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,923	$30.73	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,887	$30.43	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Baroque Red (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,887	$30.13	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 1,852	$29.96	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,852	$29.74	0.6%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Baroque Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,786	$28.57	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,754	$27.98	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 1,724	$27.48	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Tiger Pit (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,667	$26.33	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 1,639	$26.29	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,613	$26.15	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 1,562	$25.17	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,562	$25.00	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Virus (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 1,471	$23.81	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,449	$23.20	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Leather (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,429	$22.96	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,370	$21.78	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Tiger Pit (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,266	$20.41	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,266	$20.38	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Tiger Pit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,235	$19.54	0.6%	2	0.2	—
P90 \| Tiger Pit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,205	$19.32	0.6%	1	0.2	—
P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 1,136	$18.20	0.6%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 1,099	$17.67	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,087	$17.34	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,075	$17.24	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,075	$17.17	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,064	$16.96	0.6%	2	0.3	—
P90 \| Attack Vector (Factory New)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,042	$16.69	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 1,031	$16.46	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,031	$16.43	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Schematic (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,000	$15.98	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 980	$15.75	0.6%	1	0.3	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 971	$15.58	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 962	$15.48	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Desert Warfare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 971	$15.46	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 952	$15.37	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 962	$15.36	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Tiger Pit (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 926	$14.93	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 885	$14.12	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 877	$13.96	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Schematic (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 833	$13.31	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 826	$13.26	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 820	$13.10	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 800	$12.79	0.6%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 781	$12.52	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 775	$12.40	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 746	$11.95	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 741	$11.92	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 741	$11.84	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 730	$11.67	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Sunset Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 719	$11.52	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 714	$11.44	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 714	$11.43	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 714	$11.39	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 709	$11.36	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 704	$11.28	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 704	$11.23	0.6%	2	0.4	—
P90 \| Trigon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 699	$11.22	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 699	$11.18	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 685	$10.94	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 680	$10.87	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 671	$10.73	0.6%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Attack Vector (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon	1 in 658	$10.53	0.6%	2	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 649	$10.41	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 637	$10.21	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Blind Spot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 629	$10.09	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 625	$10.00	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 621	$9.91	0.6%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Shapewood (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 610	$9.79	0.6%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Leather (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 599	$9.61	0.6%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 588	$9.41	0.6%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 578	$9.27	0.6%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 578	$9.26	0.6%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Desert Warfare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 541	$8.65	0.6%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Desert Warfare (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 535	$8.56	0.6%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 510	$8.17	0.6%	1	0.5	—
P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 495	$7.92	0.6%	3	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 474	$7.59	0.6%	0	0.6	—
P90 \| Schematic (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 469	$7.54	0.6%	1	0.6	—
P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 461	$7.39	0.6%	1	0.6	—
P90 \| Leather (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 459	$7.34	0.6%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 459	$7.33	0.6%	0	0.6	—
P90 \| Blind Spot (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 450	$7.22	0.6%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 448	$7.18	0.6%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 418	$6.70	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 417	$6.66	0.6%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Attack Vector (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon	1 in 412	$6.58	0.6%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Leather (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 405	$6.49	0.6%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Attack Vector (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 402	$6.44	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 398	$6.39	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Leather (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 397	$6.34	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Desert Warfare (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 392	$6.27	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 386	$6.18	0.6%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 379	$6.08	0.6%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Desert Warfare (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 380	$6.07	0.6%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Randy Rush (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 377	$6.04	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Schematic (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 373	$5.98	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 366	$5.86	0.6%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Attack Vector (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 337	$5.39	0.6%	0	0.8	—
P90 \| Schematic (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 332	$5.31	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 321	$5.14	0.6%	1	0.8	—
P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 301	$4.82	0.6%	1	0.9	—
P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 297	$4.75	0.6%	1	0.9	—
P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 292	$4.68	0.6%	2	0.9	—
P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 289	$4.63	0.6%	0	0.9	—
P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 282	$4.52	0.6%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 280	$4.49	0.6%	3	1.0	—
P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 256	$4.10	0.6%	1	1.1	0.94×
P90 \| Desert Warfare (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 249	$4.00	0.6%	2	1.1	1.83×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 248	$3.97	0.6%	0	1.1	0.00×
P90 \| Wave Breaker (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 239	$3.82	0.6%	3	1.1	2.63×
P90 \| Chopper (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 220	$3.52	0.6%	3	1.2	2.42×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 207	$3.31	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Desert Warfare (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 207	$3.31	0.6%	4	1.3	3.04×
P90 \| Virus (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 203	$3.25	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
P90 \| Randy Rush (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 198	$3.16	0.6%	0	1.4	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 188	$3.01	0.6%	2	1.4	1.38×
P90 \| Desert Warfare (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 187	$3.00	0.6%	2	1.5	1.38×
P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 176	$2.82	0.6%	2	1.5	1.29×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 175	$2.80	0.6%	1	1.6	0.64×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 172	$2.76	0.6%	3	1.6	1.90×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 171	$2.74	0.6%	2	1.6	1.26×
P90 \| Virus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 170	$2.73	0.6%	1	1.6	0.63×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 170	$2.72	0.6%	2	1.6	1.25×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 165	$2.64	0.6%	0	1.7	0.00×
P90 \| Traction (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,190	$2.48	0.1%	0	0.2	—
P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 1,124	$2.33	0.1%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,111	$2.31	0.1%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 1,064	$2.20	0.1%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Facility Negative (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 1,053	$2.17	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 952	$1.97	0.1%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 926	$1.93	0.1%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 909	$1.90	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 885	$1.84	0.1%	2	0.3	—
P90 \| Elite Build (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 885	$1.84	0.1%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 855	$1.77	0.1%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 847	$1.76	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 840	$1.75	0.1%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Randy Rush (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 833	$1.74	0.1%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 826	$1.71	0.1%	1	0.3	—
P90 \| Off World (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 826	$1.71	0.1%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 800	$1.65	0.1%	0	0.3	—
P90 \| Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 781	$1.63	0.1%	1	0.3	—
P90 \| Module (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 787	$1.63	0.1%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 735	$1.52	0.1%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 719	$1.49	0.1%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	1 in 719	$1.49	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Verdant Growth (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 680	$1.41	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 676	$1.40	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Verdant Growth (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 667	$1.39	0.1%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 654	$1.36	0.1%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Grim (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 649	$1.35	0.1%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Randy Rush (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 649	$1.34	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 625	$1.30	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 625	$1.30	0.1%	1	0.4	—
P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 621	$1.29	0.1%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 613	$1.27	0.1%	0	0.4	—
P90 \| Module (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 592	$1.23	0.1%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 578	$1.20	0.1%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 578	$1.20	0.1%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 562	$1.17	0.1%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 543	$1.13	0.1%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 541	$1.12	0.1%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Freight (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 532	$1.10	0.1%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 513	$1.06	0.1%	0	0.5	—
P90 \| Reef Grief (Factory New)weapon · uncommon	1 in 500	$1.04	0.1%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 424	$0.88	0.1%	0	0.6	—
P90 \| Randy Rush (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 415	$0.86	0.1%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Vent Rush (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 413	$0.86	0.1%	3	0.7	—
P90 \| Traction (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 415	$0.86	0.1%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Teardown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 408	$0.85	0.1%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 405	$0.84	0.1%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 405	$0.84	0.1%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Randy Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 400	$0.83	0.1%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 398	$0.83	0.1%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 395	$0.82	0.1%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 395	$0.82	0.1%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 395	$0.82	0.1%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 395	$0.82	0.1%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 386	$0.80	0.1%	2	0.7	—
P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 380	$0.79	0.1%	0	0.7	—
P90 \| Traction (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 380	$0.79	0.1%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 382	$0.79	0.1%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Straight Dimes (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 380	$0.79	0.1%	1	0.7	—
P90 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 375	$0.78	0.1%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 370	$0.77	0.1%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Vent Rush (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 351	$0.73	0.1%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 342	$0.71	0.1%	0	0.8	—
P90 \| Freight (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 341	$0.71	0.1%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 337	$0.70	0.1%	0	0.8	—
P90 \| Facility Negative (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 327	$0.68	0.1%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 323	$0.67	0.1%	1	0.8	—
P90 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 323	$0.67	0.1%	3	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 308	$0.64	0.1%	1	0.9	—
P90 \| Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 299	$0.62	0.1%	0	0.9	—
P90 \| Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 256	$0.53	0.1%	1	1.1	0.94×
P90 \| Wave Breaker (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 255	$0.53	0.1%	1	1.1	0.94×
P90 \| Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 255	$0.53	0.1%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 255	$0.53	0.1%	1	1.1	0.94×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 250	$0.52	0.1%	0	1.1	0.00×
P90 \| Vent Rush (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 241	$0.50	0.1%	1	1.1	0.89×
P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 241	$0.50	0.1%	1	1.1	0.89×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 241	$0.50	0.1%	2	1.1	1.77×
P90 \| Vent Rush (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	0	1.2	0.00×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	1	1.2	0.85×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	0	1.2	0.00×
P90 \| Traction (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	1	1.2	0.85×
P90 \| Traction (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	2	1.2	1.70×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	0	1.2	0.00×
P90 \| Grim (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	2	1.2	1.70×
P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 231	$0.48	0.1%	1	1.2	0.85×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 226	$0.47	0.1%	1	1.2	0.83×
P90 \| Verdant Growth (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 221	$0.46	0.1%	0	1.2	0.00×
P90 \| Off World (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 216	$0.45	0.1%	1	1.3	0.80×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 207	$0.43	0.1%	1	1.3	0.76×
P90 \| Verdant Growth (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 207	$0.43	0.1%	2	1.3	1.52×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 202	$0.42	0.1%	1	1.3	0.74×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 198	$0.41	0.1%	0	1.4	0.00×
P90 \| Grim (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 198	$0.41	0.1%	3	1.4	2.18×
P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 193	$0.40	0.1%	2	1.4	1.42×
P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 193	$0.40	0.1%	3	1.4	2.13×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 178	$0.37	0.1%	1	1.5	0.66×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 178	$0.37	0.1%	2	1.5	1.31×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 164	$0.34	0.1%	1	1.7	0.60×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 164	$0.34	0.1%	0	1.7	0.00×
P90 \| Off World (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 154	$0.32	0.1%	1	1.8	0.57×
P90 \| Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 154	$0.32	0.1%	1	1.8	0.57×
P90 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 149	$0.31	0.1%	5	1.8	2.74×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 144	$0.30	0.1%	3	1.9	1.59×
P90 \| Reef Grief (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 111	$0.23	0.1%	3	2.5	1.22×
P90 \| Reef Grief (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 111	$0.23	0.1%	1	2.5	0.41×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 111	$0.23	0.1%	1	2.5	0.41×
P90 \| Reef Grief (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 106	$0.22	0.1%	0	2.6	0.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Freight (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · blue	1 in 106	$0.22	0.1%	5	2.6	1.95×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 101	$0.21	0.1%	3	2.7	1.12×
P90 \| Ash Wood (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 96	$0.20	0.1%	5	2.8	1.77×
P90 \| Teardown (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 87	$0.18	0.1%	2	3.1	0.64×
P90 \| Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 87	$0.18	0.1%	4	3.1	1.27×
P90 \| Teardown (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 82	$0.17	0.1%	6	3.3	1.81×
P90 \| Mustard Gas (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 82	$0.17	0.1%	5	3.3	1.50×
P90 \| Wash me (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 72	$0.15	0.1%	3	3.8	0.80×
P90 \| Straight Dimes (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 67	$0.14	0.1%	3	4.0	0.74×
P90 \| Ash Wood (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 58	$0.12	0.1%	4	4.7	0.85×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Freight (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 48	$0.10	0.1%	7	5.6	1.24×
P90 \| Ash Wood (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 48	$0.10	0.1%	7	5.6	1.24×
P90 \| Ash Wood (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 48	$0.10	0.1%	5	5.6	0.89×
P90 \| Wash me (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 39	$0.08	0.1%	8	7.1	1.13×
P90 \| Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 34	$0.07	0.1%	17	8.1	2.11×
P90 \| Mustard Gas (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	10	14.1	0.71×
P90 \| Mustard Gas (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	12	14.1	0.85×
P90 \| Mustard Gas (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.04	0.1%	14	14.1	0.99×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/p90-stash, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P90 | Ash Wood (Factory New)weapon · UncommonL.M$3.00$0.200.07x3h

P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)weapon · UncommonL.M$3.00$0.170.06x3h

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedfuzo ❤L$3.00$2.820.94x5h

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violetfuzo ❤L$3.00$2.720.91x5h

P90 | Teardown (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specfuzo ❤L$3.00$0.180.06x5h

P90 | Facility Negative (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecL.M$3.00$0.300.10x6h

P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested)weapon · RareL.M$3.00$0.180.06x6h

StatTrak™ P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecL.M$3.00$0.770.26x6h

P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d9L.M$3.00$0.070.02x7h

P90 | Attack Vector (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommonL.M$3.00$10.533.51x7h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.95%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$3.00	87.95%	290
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$3.00	87.98%	290
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$3.00	87.95%	290
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$3.00	88.03%	290
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$3.00	87.97%	290
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$3.00	87.97%	290
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$3.00	88.00%	290
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$3.00	87.96%	290
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$3.00	87.94%	290
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$3.00	88.00%	290
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$3.00	87.98%	290

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 0.9%restricted 8.8%Covert 0.0%covert 0.0%classified 4.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%pink 0.1%#d32ee6 0.4%industrial 14.4%Legendary 0.4%milspec 18.1%mil spec 8.9%Classified 0.4%violet 6.2%Rare 2.3%Mil Spec Grade 0.6%#4b69ff 3.9%uncommon 0.7%Mythical 0.7%Industrial Grade 0.2%#8847ff 4.0%Restricted 0.5%blue 2.9%Mil Spec 0.3%Uncommon 2.5%#5e98d9 18.8%best hit —