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Prismashift

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$7.00
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.30%
150 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
19 openings · below min
7 days
126 openings · below min
30 days
150 openings · below min
since tracking started
150 openings · below min
23.5%62.3%101.0%

Small sample. 150 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1958.29%±34.2—sample
7d12674.08%±26.4—sample
30d15070.30%±22.4—sample
All15070.30%±22.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedRiSON3$7.00$0.840.12x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedChill007$7.00$10.721.53x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · RestrictedChill007$7.00$1.160.17x
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedThe NotCheating Duck☄$7.00$2.430.35x
M4A4 | 龍王 (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkThe NotCheating Duck☄$7.00$20.852.98x
Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedHadi$7.00$0.710.10x
Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedIWAN$7.00$0.840.12x
SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkHazerKu$7.00$4.740.68x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ffHazerKu$7.00$1.200.17x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedrobs$7.00$1.270.18x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —