Ruby Tempest

A case on Hellcase (first-strike), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$0.60

Advertised RTP

88.00%

EV $0.53 from 284 items

Observed RTP, 30d

85.55%

8,563 openings, odds method

Variance

2.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

20.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

86.16%±11.02914 openings

7 days

84.47%±3.927,154 openings

30 days

85.55%±3.598,563 openings

since tracking started

85.55%±3.598,563 openings

74.5%86.3%98.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	914	86.16%±11.0	−0.3σ	odds
7d	7,154	84.47%±3.92	−1.8σ	odds
30d	8,563	85.55%±3.59	−1.3σ	odds
All	8,563	85.55%±3.59	−1.3σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values284 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,576 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red	1 in 50,000	$45.53	0.2%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 50,000	$43.87	0.2%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 33,333	$42.72	0.2%	0	0.3	—
USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 25,000	$32.75	0.2%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 25,000	$29.12	0.2%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 25,000	$28.80	0.2%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 33,333	$28.35	0.2%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 25,000	$25.70	0.2%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 25,000	$25.42	0.2%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 20,000	$22.47	0.2%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$21.67	0.2%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$20.56	0.2%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$17.95	0.2%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$17.35	0.2%	0	0.5	—
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$16.43	0.2%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 14,286	$15.66	0.2%	0	0.6	—
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 14,286	$14.69	0.2%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$14.08	0.2%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 12,500	$13.70	0.2%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 14,286	$13.69	0.2%	0	0.6	—
AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 11,111	$12.11	0.2%	0	0.8	—
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 12,500	$12.07	0.2%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$11.38	0.2%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 11,111	$11.06	0.2%	3	0.8	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 10,000	$10.04	0.2%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$9.88	0.2%	3	0.9	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$9.83	0.2%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 9,091	$9.68	0.2%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$9.63	0.2%	1	0.9	—
Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 9,091	$9.29	0.2%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 8,333	$9.12	0.2%	2	1.0	1.94×
USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$8.89	0.2%	1	1.0	0.97×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$8.88	0.2%	2	1.0	1.94×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 7,692	$8.69	0.2%	1	1.1	0.90×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 8,333	$8.58	0.2%	0	1.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 8,333	$8.56	0.2%	1	1.0	0.97×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 8,333	$8.56	0.2%	1	1.0	0.97×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified	1 in 7,692	$8.45	0.2%	1	1.1	0.90×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$8.41	0.2%	2	1.0	1.94×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$8.27	0.2%	1	1.1	0.90×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 7,692	$7.88	0.2%	0	1.1	0.00×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 7,143	$7.52	0.2%	3	1.2	2.50×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 7,143	$7.51	0.2%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$7.49	0.2%	1	1.2	0.83×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$7.37	0.2%	1	1.3	0.78×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$7.33	0.2%	0	1.3	0.00×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 7,143	$7.26	0.2%	3	1.2	2.50×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$7.13	0.2%	1	1.3	0.78×
StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 6,667	$7.06	0.2%	1	1.3	0.78×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 6,667	$7.02	0.2%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$6.91	0.2%	1	1.3	0.78×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 6,667	$6.90	0.2%	2	1.3	1.55×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$6.84	0.2%	3	1.3	2.33×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 6,250	$6.84	0.2%	2	1.4	1.46×
Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 6,250	$6.62	0.2%	0	1.4	0.00×
AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 5,882	$6.38	0.2%	1	1.5	0.69×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 6,250	$6.29	0.2%	2	1.4	1.46×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 5,556	$6.01	0.2%	1	1.5	0.65×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 5,556	$5.95	0.2%	1	1.5	0.65×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 5,000	$5.34	0.2%	1	1.7	0.58×
PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 5,000	$5.26	0.2%	1	1.7	0.58×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified	1 in 5,000	$5.18	0.2%	2	1.7	1.17×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 4,762	$5.14	0.2%	1	1.8	0.56×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 4,762	$5.09	0.2%	1	1.8	0.56×
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Scumbria (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 4,762	$5.09	0.2%	2	1.8	1.11×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,762	$5.07	0.2%	0	1.8	0.00×
Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 4,545	$4.94	0.2%	1	1.9	0.53×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 4,545	$4.94	0.2%	4	1.9	2.12×
SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$4.87	0.2%	1	1.9	0.53×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$4.83	0.2%	1	1.9	0.53×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$4.78	0.2%	1	1.9	0.53×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$4.78	0.2%	1	1.9	0.53×
AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 4,348	$4.77	0.2%	1	2.0	0.51×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 4,348	$4.74	0.2%	1	2.0	0.51×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 4,545	$4.71	0.2%	3	1.9	1.59×
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 4,545	$4.64	0.2%	2	1.9	1.06×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 4,348	$4.58	0.2%	0	2.0	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 4,167	$4.48	0.2%	1	2.1	0.49×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$4.47	0.2%	2	2.1	0.97×
Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 4,167	$4.36	0.2%	0	2.1	0.00×
AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 4,167	$4.33	0.2%	2	2.1	0.97×
Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Legendary	1 in 4,000	$4.27	0.2%	0	2.1	0.00×
AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 4,000	$4.25	0.2%	5	2.1	2.33×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 4,000	$4.25	0.2%	2	2.1	0.93×
AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$4.19	0.2%	2	2.1	0.93×
USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 3,846	$4.11	0.2%	1	2.2	0.45×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,846	$4.08	0.2%	2	2.2	0.90×
USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 3,704	$4.03	0.2%	3	2.3	1.30×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,704	$3.96	0.2%	4	2.3	1.73×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 3,333	$3.58	0.2%	0	2.6	0.00×
MP9 \| Goo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,333	$3.54	0.2%	3	2.6	1.17×
AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 3,333	$3.53	0.2%	5	2.6	1.94×
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 3,333	$3.51	0.2%	3	2.6	1.17×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,226	$3.43	0.2%	2	2.7	0.75×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 3,226	$3.40	0.2%	1	2.7	0.38×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,125	$3.34	0.2%	3	2.7	1.09×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,941	$3.10	0.2%	3	2.9	1.03×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 2,857	$3.04	0.2%	1	3.0	0.33×
MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 2,703	$2.90	0.2%	2	3.2	0.63×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 2,703	$2.88	0.2%	4	3.2	1.26×
SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 2,632	$2.80	0.2%	4	3.3	1.23×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 2,632	$2.77	0.2%	8	3.3	2.45×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 2,564	$2.73	0.2%	4	3.3	1.20×
AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 2,439	$2.56	0.2%	5	3.5	1.42×
AK-47 \| Crossfade (Well-Worn)weapon · common	1 in 2,381	$2.52	0.2%	3	3.6	0.83×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,326	$2.46	0.2%	0	3.7	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,326	$2.44	0.2%	3	3.7	0.81×
AK-47 \| Crossfade (Battle-Scarred)weapon · common	1 in 2,273	$2.44	0.2%	3	3.8	0.80×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,273	$2.43	0.2%	3	3.8	0.80×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 2,222	$2.38	0.2%	1	3.9	0.26×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 2,128	$2.28	0.2%	4	4.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 2,041	$2.17	0.2%	6	4.2	1.43×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 2,041	$2.17	0.2%	5	4.2	1.19×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$2.15	0.2%	6	4.3	1.40×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$2.15	0.2%	4	4.3	0.93×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 2,000	$2.13	0.2%	6	4.3	1.40×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,961	$2.11	0.2%	7	4.4	1.60×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,000	$2.10	0.2%	2	4.3	0.47×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,961	$2.08	0.2%	6	4.4	1.37×
SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,923	$2.04	0.2%	5	4.5	1.12×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,887	$2.02	0.2%	3	4.5	0.66×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,887	$1.98	0.2%	6	4.5	1.32×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,852	$1.97	0.2%	3	4.6	0.65×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,818	$1.93	0.2%	2	4.7	0.42×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,754	$1.87	0.2%	5	4.9	1.02×
USP-S \| Torque (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,724	$1.85	0.2%	4	5.0	0.80×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 1,754	$1.84	0.2%	3	4.9	0.61×
XM1014 \| Scumbria (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,667	$1.77	0.2%	1	5.1	0.19×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,667	$1.76	0.2%	7	5.1	1.36×
SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 1,613	$1.71	0.2%	2	5.3	0.38×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,515	$1.61	0.2%	10	5.7	1.77×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 1,515	$1.60	0.2%	10	5.7	1.77×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,493	$1.60	0.2%	4	5.7	0.70×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,493	$1.56	0.2%	4	5.7	0.70×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,471	$1.55	0.2%	8	5.8	1.37×
MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,471	$1.55	0.2%	6	5.8	1.03×
AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,408	$1.50	0.2%	7	6.1	1.15×
P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,389	$1.49	0.2%	2	6.2	0.32×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,370	$1.45	0.2%	2	6.3	0.32×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,316	$1.40	0.2%	4	6.5	0.61×
USP-S \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,333	$1.40	0.2%	8	6.4	1.24×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,282	$1.36	0.2%	7	6.7	1.05×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,250	$1.33	0.2%	6	6.9	0.87×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,250	$1.33	0.2%	8	6.9	1.17×
USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,250	$1.32	0.2%	7	6.9	1.02×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,220	$1.30	0.2%	15	7.0	2.13×
MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,220	$1.29	0.2%	3	7.0	0.43×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,220	$1.29	0.2%	3	7.0	0.43×
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Scumbria (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,205	$1.28	0.2%	13	7.1	1.83×
MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn)weapon · 3	1 in 1,163	$1.24	0.2%	11	7.4	1.49×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,163	$1.24	0.2%	8	7.4	1.08×
MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,149	$1.22	0.2%	4	7.5	0.54×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,136	$1.21	0.2%	5	7.5	0.66×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,124	$1.19	0.2%	7	7.6	0.92×
SSG 08 \| Zeno (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,099	$1.17	0.2%	6	7.8	0.77×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,111	$1.17	0.2%	11	7.7	1.43×
MP7 \| Just Smile (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 1,099	$1.16	0.2%	6	7.8	0.77×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,099	$1.16	0.2%	2	7.8	0.26×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,087	$1.16	0.2%	7	7.9	0.89×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,075	$1.13	0.2%	9	8.0	1.13×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,064	$1.12	0.2%	4	8.1	0.50×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,064	$1.12	0.2%	10	8.1	1.24×
SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,042	$1.11	0.2%	8	8.2	0.97×
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,020	$1.09	0.2%	10	8.4	1.19×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 980	$1.04	0.2%	9	8.7	1.03×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 980	$1.04	0.2%	10	8.7	1.14×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 962	$1.02	0.2%	9	8.9	1.01×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 952	$1.01	0.2%	5	9.0	0.56×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 943	$1.00	0.2%	12	9.1	1.32×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 943	$1.00	0.2%	10	9.1	1.10×
USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 943	$1.00	0.2%	5	9.1	0.55×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 917	$0.98	0.2%	10	9.3	1.07×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 917	$0.97	0.2%	15	9.3	1.60×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 909	$0.96	0.2%	8	9.4	0.85×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 901	$0.95	0.2%	7	9.5	0.74×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 901	$0.95	0.2%	8	9.5	0.84×
USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 893	$0.95	0.2%	10	9.6	1.04×
SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 840	$0.89	0.2%	10	10.2	0.98×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 840	$0.89	0.2%	12	10.2	1.18×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 840	$0.89	0.2%	12	10.2	1.18×
SSG 08 \| Zeno (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 787	$0.83	0.2%	10	10.9	0.92×
SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 752	$0.80	0.2%	5	11.4	0.44×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 752	$0.80	0.2%	7	11.4	0.61×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 752	$0.80	0.2%	15	11.4	1.32×
SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 746	$0.79	0.2%	5	11.5	0.44×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 746	$0.79	0.2%	14	11.5	1.22×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 735	$0.78	0.2%	10	11.7	0.86×
Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 735	$0.78	0.2%	11	11.7	0.94×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 730	$0.77	0.2%	11	11.7	0.94×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 714	$0.76	0.2%	13	12.0	1.08×
Sawed-Off \| Brake Light (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 699	$0.74	0.2%	17	12.3	1.39×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 685	$0.73	0.2%	8	12.5	0.64×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 690	$0.73	0.2%	10	12.4	0.80×
SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 690	$0.73	0.2%	10	12.4	0.80×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 676	$0.72	0.2%	14	12.7	1.10×
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Scumbria (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 680	$0.72	0.2%	14	12.6	1.11×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 676	$0.72	0.2%	17	12.7	1.34×
PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 671	$0.71	0.2%	12	12.8	0.94×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 662	$0.70	0.2%	10	12.9	0.77×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 662	$0.70	0.2%	15	12.9	1.16×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 662	$0.70	0.2%	17	12.9	1.31×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 645	$0.68	0.2%	10	13.3	0.75×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 641	$0.68	0.2%	7	13.4	0.52×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 641	$0.68	0.2%	11	13.4	0.82×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 641	$0.68	0.2%	20	13.4	1.49×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 621	$0.66	0.2%	14	13.8	1.01×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 613	$0.65	0.2%	5	14.0	0.36×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 613	$0.65	0.2%	25	14.0	1.79×
PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 602	$0.64	0.2%	15	14.2	1.05×
SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 602	$0.64	0.2%	19	14.2	1.33×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 585	$0.62	0.2%	13	14.7	0.89×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 518	$0.55	0.2%	19	16.6	1.15×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 510	$0.54	0.2%	58	16.8	3.45×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 510	$0.54	0.2%	12	16.8	0.71×
SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 510	$0.54	0.2%	46	16.8	2.74×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 500	$0.53	0.2%	21	17.2	1.22×
P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 500	$0.53	0.2%	41	17.2	2.39×
MP7 \| Just Smile (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 117	$0.52	0.8%	67	73.3	0.91×
Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 117	$0.52	0.8%	61	73.3	0.83×
P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 117	$0.52	0.8%	76	73.3	1.04×
XM1014 \| Scumbria (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 115	$0.51	0.8%	57	74.7	0.76×
PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 112	$0.50	0.8%	80	76.2	1.05×
UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 112	$0.50	0.8%	78	76.2	1.02×
Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 108	$0.48	0.8%	104	79.4	1.31×
MP7 \| Just Smile (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 106	$0.47	0.8%	74	81.1	0.91×
MP7 \| Just Smile (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 106	$0.47	0.8%	79	81.1	0.97×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 106	$0.47	0.8%	109	81.1	1.34×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 106	$0.47	0.8%	89	81.1	1.10×
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 104	$0.46	0.8%	96	82.8	1.16×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 104	$0.46	0.8%	88	82.8	1.06×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 101	$0.45	0.8%	91	84.7	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 101	$0.45	0.8%	80	84.7	0.94×
P2000 \| Oceanic (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 101	$0.45	0.8%	89	84.7	1.05×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 101	$0.45	0.8%	92	84.7	1.09×
SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 101	$0.45	0.8%	76	84.7	0.90×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 99	$0.44	0.8%	89	86.6	1.03×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 99	$0.44	0.8%	88	86.7	1.01×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 97	$0.43	0.8%	86	88.7	0.97×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 97	$0.43	0.8%	103	88.7	1.16×
UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 97	$0.43	0.8%	84	88.7	0.95×
UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 94	$0.42	0.8%	94	90.8	1.04×
P2000 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 95	$0.42	0.8%	89	90.7	0.98×
PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	92	93.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	96	93.0	1.03×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	95	93.0	1.02×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	81	93.0	0.87×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	82	93.0	0.88×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Sand Scale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	83	93.0	0.89×
Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 92	$0.41	0.8%	105	93.0	1.13×
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 85	$0.38	0.8%	107	100.3	1.07×
Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 85	$0.38	0.8%	98	100.3	0.98×
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Scumbria (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 85	$0.38	0.8%	108	100.3	1.08×
UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 85	$0.38	0.8%	88	100.3	0.88×
SSG 08 \| Zeno (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 85	$0.38	0.8%	92	100.3	0.92×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 83	$0.37	0.8%	92	103.1	0.89×
SSG 08 \| Zeno (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 83	$0.37	0.8%	97	103.0	0.94×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 81	$0.36	0.8%	109	105.9	1.03×
SSG 08 \| Zeno (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 81	$0.36	0.8%	110	105.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 81	$0.36	0.8%	95	105.9	0.90×
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 81	$0.36	0.8%	91	105.9	0.86×
Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 79	$0.35	0.8%	62	109.0	0.57×
Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 79	$0.35	0.8%	109	108.9	1.00×
StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 77	$0.34	0.8%	103	112.1	0.92×
UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 76	$0.34	0.8%	74	112.2	0.66×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 74	$0.33	0.8%	142	115.5	1.23×
XM1014 \| Scumbria (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 74	$0.33	0.8%	126	115.6	1.09×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 74	$0.33	0.8%	132	115.5	1.14×
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 72	$0.32	0.8%	127	119.2	1.07×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 72	$0.32	0.8%	115	119.2	0.96×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 72	$0.32	0.8%	100	119.1	0.84×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 70	$0.31	0.8%	137	123.1	1.11×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 70	$0.31	0.8%	124	123.1	1.01×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 67	$0.30	0.8%	154	127.1	1.21×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 67	$0.30	0.8%	111	127.1	0.87×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 65	$0.29	0.8%	141	131.5	1.07×
XM1014 \| Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 56	$0.25	0.8%	149	152.6	0.98×
XM1014 \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 54	$0.24	0.8%	159	158.8	1.00×
Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 54	$0.24	0.8%	168	158.9	1.06×
Galil AR \| Metallic Squeezer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 54	$0.24	0.8%	153	158.8	0.96×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 52	$0.23	0.8%	147	165.8	0.89×
P90 \| Facility Negative (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 47	$0.21	0.8%	173	181.6	0.95×
SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 36	$0.16	0.8%	242	238.3	1.02×
SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 29	$0.13	0.8%	284	293.3	0.97×
SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 29	$0.13	0.8%	291	293.3	0.99×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/ruby-tempest, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · redBADTkiLLer$0.60$45.2475.40x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecDundee92$0.60$0.310.52x2m

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecDundee92$0.60$0.410.68x2m

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rarededela$0.60$0.681.13x8m

Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffThe Ratão$0.60$0.350.58x29m

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecThe Ratão$0.60$0.320.53x30m

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecThe Ratão$0.60$0.240.40x30m

SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecThe Ratão$0.60$0.130.22x32m

SSG 08 | Zeno (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecThe Ratão$0.60$0.360.60x32m

Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specUser$0.60$0.380.63x35m

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspecqq$0.60$0.410.68x35m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$0.60	88.00%	284
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$0.60	88.00%	284
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$0.60	87.69%	284
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$0.60	88.00%	284
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$0.60	88.02%	284
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$0.60	87.94%	284
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$0.60	87.93%	284
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$0.60	87.98%	284
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$0.60	88.03%	284
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$0.60	88.06%	284
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$0.60	87.98%	284

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.9%3 0.1%red 0.0%covert 0.0%classified 0.3%violet 2.4%restricted 2.4%pink 0.2%Legendary 0.2%milspec 50.1%Mythical 1.2%mil spec 10.8%Classified 0.1%#d32ce6 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%#4b69ff 14.7%blue 4.9%#8847ff 0.1%Rare 7.0%common 0.1%Mil Spec 0.2%Mil Spec Grade 3.3%best hit $45.24 (75.40x)