Source

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$0.75
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
61.08%
270 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
14 openings · below min
7 days
185 openings · below min
30 days
270 openings · below min
since tracking started
270 openings · below min
16.5%51.7%87.0%

Small sample. 270 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1426.19%±8.91—sample
7d18562.73%±23.6—sample
30d27061.08%±17.9—sample
All27061.08%±17.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —