The Eternal Sigil
A case on Hellcase (trending), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$93.00
Advertised RTP
87.99%
EV $81.83 from 74 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.71%
166 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values74 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 177 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/the-eternal-sigil, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $93.00 | 87.99% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $93.00 | 88.01% | 74 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $93.00 | 88.08% | 74 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $93.00 | 88.03% | 74 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $93.00 | 88.00% | 74 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $93.00 | 88.02% | 74 |
| 6 Nov, 23:48 UTC | $93.00 | 88.02% | 74 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.3%epic 0.4%covert 65.5%restricted 0.1%Covert 0.0%#EB4B4B 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 7.4%classified 0.2%rare 0.1%gold 0.5%Immortal 0.5%red 12.2%Ancient 12.7%best hit $1,487 (15.99x)