Tiger Tooth Family
A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.
Price
$270.00
Advertised RTP
85.00%
EV $229.49 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
69.14%
29 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 29 openings and 6.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hellcase:api/open/tiger-tooth-family, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeKW1AT$270$1220.45x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covertKiryuSenpai$270$1080.40x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 08:59 UTC | $270 | 84.92% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
| 2 Nov, 21:49 UTC | $270 | 85.00% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert knife 16.1%covert 82.6%epic 1.3%best hit —