Treasure

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$40.00

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

70.88%

34 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

4 openings · below min

7 days

31 openings · below min

30 days

34 openings · below min

since tracking started

34 openings · below min

42.0%92.3%142.5%

Small sample. 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4	92.24%±49.7	—	sample
7d	31	63.73%±14.2	—	sample
30d	34	70.88%±15.2	—	sample
All	34	70.88%±15.2	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertAttila Penzes$40.00$67.251.68x37m

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedAttila Penzes$40.00$25.890.65x37m

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedMaLi$40.00$25.990.65x39m

Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec GradeJeanFils$40.00$28.460.71x6h

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · classifiedबकवास$40.00$29.860.75x1d

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6K_Jco4$40.00$28.110.70x1d

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6𓂀 𝕫𝕖𝕟 𓂀$40.00$19.190.48x1d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedkick : Twillv98$40.00$24.250.61x1d

MAC-10 | Curse (Factory New)weapon · restrictedTHE SPECIAL ONE$40.00$12.690.32x1d

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn)weapon · classifiedHekorro$40.00$26.960.67x2d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —