Untouched

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$0.70

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

87.76%

9,394 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

88.36%±11.061,032 openings

7 days

89.20%±3.967,544 openings

30 days

87.76%±3.439,394 openings

since tracking started

87.76%±3.439,394 openings

76.5%88.3%100.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,032	88.36%±11.1	—	sample
7d	7,544	89.20%±3.96	—	sample
30d	9,394	87.76%±3.43	—	sample
All	9,394	87.76%±3.43	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Nova | Exo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecDavidenko2.0$5.00$0.450.09x3m

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 3nagareyama$0.70$0.470.67x12m

Nova | Exo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec尺3乂$0.70$0.410.59x14m

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical尺3乂$0.70$0.510.73x14m

StatTrak™ Nova | Exo (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec尺3乂$0.70$0.360.51x14m

Nova | Exo (Factory New)weapon · mil specTheSpicyPancakeMafia$0.70$0.520.74x26m

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffbabytoes$0.70$0.120.17x30m

P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New)weapon · #8847ffPISTOLET Z DLUGA LUFA$0.70$3.805.43x34m

P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffAmbush$0.70$0.530.76x36m

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ffVinz Hyo$0.70$0.120.17x36m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —