FREE CASE #1
A case on Hotpizza.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.05
0.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.86%
490 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 490 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogHotpizza.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)weapon · Consumer GradeMr.Zapominalski ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
SG 553 | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear)weapon · Commondonk666$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumerYyosik$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Field-Tested)weapon · CommonФидунчик$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecWaka$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.110.11 HOTPIZZA_POINT2.20x
SG 553 | Aloha (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec123$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.100.1 HOTPIZZA_POINT2.00x
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumervkuzy1996$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · consumerspM$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.030.03 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.60x
MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialkrohotylia$0.050.05 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.100.1 HOTPIZZA_POINT2.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit —