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A case on Hotpizza.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.00
0 HOTPIZZA_POINT
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHotpizza.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife<RpM>$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$521521 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knifeArsixk$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$521521 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x

Latest dropsnewest first

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)weapon · RareСократ-Sokrāts^$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.250.25 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedСократ-Sokrāts^$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$5.645.64 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
USP-S | Silent Shot (Factory New)weapon · Rareermm... what the scallop?$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$1.571.57 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New)weapon · mil specGucamole Jones$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$4.964.96 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspecFOEHAMMER$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$3.723.72 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specBrayhon$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.980.98 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)weapon · violetBrayhon$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$0.520.52 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed