XL
A case on Hotpizza.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hotpizza.gg's own item price converted from hotpizza point at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.00
0 HOTPIZZA_POINT
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
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no counted openings
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
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needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogHotpizza.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hotpizza.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert★行 ꜰᴀᴛᴇ$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$607607 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert☣☢☢.D_3_N_4_I_K.☢☢☣$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$607607 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · CovertMuffa$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$559559 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Latest dropsnewest first
Tec-9 | Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · blueBAYTAR$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$13.4313.43 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · violetBAYTAR$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$18.7418.74 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)weapon · classifieddjFREHSA$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$18.0018 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedA S P Ξ C T$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$9.119.11 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New)weapon · restrictedN°13 Roxas$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$71.7871.78 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
P250 | Apep's Curse (Factory New)weapon · ClassifiedN°13 Roxas$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$122122 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested)weapon · violetN°13 Roxas$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$4.104.1 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New)weapon · classifiedsiji top$00 HOTPIZZA_POINT$18.0018 HOTPIZZA_POINT0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed