Spam this and youll become rich

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.57

0.9 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

88.64%

EV $0.51 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

493.89%

349 openings, sample method

Variance

747.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 2,000

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

99.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

53 openings · below min

30 days

349 openings · below min

since tracking started

349 openings · below min

-0.5%587.8%1176.0%

Small sample. 349 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	53	2.22%±0.00	—	sample
30d	349	493.89%±681.2	—	sample
All	349	493.89%±681.2	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 349 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 10,000	$521 820 HUNT_COIN	10.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$519 818 HUNT_COIN	10.3%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$514 809 HUNT_COIN	10.1%	1	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$507 798 HUNT_COIN	10.0%	0	0.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$492 775 HUNT_COIN	9.7%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$491 773 HUNT_COIN	9.7%	0	0.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 10,000	$486 766 HUNT_COIN	9.6%	0	0.0	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 10,000	$472 743 HUNT_COIN	9.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 10,000	$470 740 HUNT_COIN	9.3%	0	0.0	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$467 735 HUNT_COIN	9.2%	1	0.0	—
G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade	99.9%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	2.5%	347	348.7	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$514809 HUNT_COIN899.3x7d

★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covertEyMingh$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$467735 HUNT_COIN816.7x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1d

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeSewi #^$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1d

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Graded1sab1ed$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1d

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.570.9 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.02x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.64%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
10 Nov, 14:05 UTC	$0.57	88.64%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.0%covert 0.1%sunny 0.0%gold 0.0%Consumer Grade 99.9%best hit $514 (899.3x)