3 cent battle
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.05
0.08 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
78.75%
EV $0.04 from 3 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.18%
204 openings, odds method
Variance
1.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir G3SG1 | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 1 in 20 | $0.27 0.43 HUNT_COIN | 34.1% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× |
| Sticker | Kitted Outsticker · high | 45.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT_COIN | 50.0% | 90 | 91.8 | 0.98× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 15.9% | 105 | 102.0 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeAlexander Virkki$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer GradeGAMBLER OF SKINS$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.050.08 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.25x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 78.75%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.05 | 78.75% | 3 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedConsumer Grade 55.0%high 45.0%best hit —