The Plastic Mug

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$559.02
880 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
105.01%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
42 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
54.0%105.0%156.0%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d42105.01%±50.2—sample
30d42105.01%±50.2—sample
All42105.01%±50.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$4,3946,921 HUNT_COIN7.86x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$559880 HUNT_COIN$1,0401,638 HUNT_COIN1.86x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$559880 HUNT_COIN$1,0401,638 HUNT_COIN1.86x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$559880 HUNT_COIN$1,0401,638 HUNT_COIN1.86x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$559880 HUNT_COIN$8491,338 HUNT_COIN1.52x
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$8061,269 HUNT_COIN1.44x
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$7101,118 HUNT_COIN1.27x
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$7101,118 HUNT_COIN1.27x
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$7101,118 HUNT_COIN1.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$559880 HUNT_COIN$554872 HUNT_COIN0.99x
Sticker | Bish (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$559880 HUNT_COIN$3.665.77 HUNT_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$559880 HUNT_COIN$1,0401,638 HUNT_COIN1.86x
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$7101,118 HUNT_COIN1.27x
Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic$559880 HUNT_COIN$23.2636.64 HUNT_COIN0.04x
Sticker | Bish (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$559880 HUNT_COIN$3.665.77 HUNT_COIN0.01x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$4,3946,921 HUNT_COIN7.86x
Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil)sticker · exotic$559880 HUNT_COIN$23.2636.64 HUNT_COIN0.04x
★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Field-Tested)knife · gold$559880 HUNT_COIN$7101,118 HUNT_COIN1.27x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,394 (7.86x)