AK SLATE
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.35
0.55 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.05%
EV $0.30 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
127.22%
377 openings, odds method
Variance
17.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 377 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Slate (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $12.51 19.71 HUNT_COIN | 41.2% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.59× |
| StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted | 1 in 67 | $6.24 9.83 HUNT_COIN | 30.8% | 9 | 5.7 | 1.59× |
| P250 | Inferno (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $1.83 2.89 HUNT_COIN | 12.1% | 10 | 7.5 | 1.33× |
| Sticker | Virtus.prosticker | 95.5% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT_COIN | 16.0% | 352 | 360.0 | 0.98× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$0.350.55 HUNT_COIN$6.249.83 HUNT_COIN17.87x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$0.350.55 HUNT_COIN$6.249.83 HUNT_COIN17.87x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.05%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.35 | 87.05% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 3.0%Restricted 1.5%other 95.5%best hit —