AK47
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.26
0.41 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.46%
EV $0.23 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.97%
507 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 507 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $4.76 7.5 HUNT_COIN | 20.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec | 1 in 25 | $2.18 3.44 HUNT_COIN | 38.4% | 20 | 20.3 | 0.99× |
| AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 20 | $0.30 0.48 HUNT_COIN | 6.7% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight | 40.0% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT_COIN | 20.1% | 194 | 202.8 | 0.96× |
| AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial | 50.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT_COIN | 13.9% | 261 | 253.5 | 1.03× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLightosany$0.260.41 HUNT_COIN$0.110.18 HUNT_COIN0.44x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.26 | 87.46% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 1.0%milspec 4.0%mil spec 5.0%blueLight 40.0%industrial 50.0%best hit —