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galaxy snowball

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.09
0.14 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.64%
EV $0.08 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.72%
3,187 openings, odds method
Variance
17.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 33
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
71.26%±62.82174 openings
7 days
101.43%±16.562,503 openings
30 days
96.72%±14.683,187 openings
since tracking started
96.72%±14.683,187 openings
8.0%71.3%134.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h17471.26%±62.8−0.5σodds
7d2,503101.43%±16.6+1.5σodds
30d3,18796.72%±14.7+1.1σodds
All3,18796.72%±14.7+1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,187 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 33$2.22 3.49 HUNT_COIN84.4%10695.61.11×
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade97.0%$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN15.6%3,0813091.41.00×
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Gradegomuko$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.64%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$0.0988.64%2
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 3.0%Consumer Grade 97.0%best hit —