1 HP 99 Damage
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.28
0.44 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
85.54%
EV $0.24 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
65.98%
4,361 openings, odds method
Variance
104.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 333
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,361 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 2,000 | $81.94 129 HUNT_COIN | 17.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $46.67 73.51 HUNT_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested)weapon · rare | 1 in 1,000 | $42.78 67.38 HUNT_COIN | 17.9% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 1,000 | $24.72 38.94 HUNT_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 667 | $18.76 29.54 HUNT_COIN | 11.8% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.38× |
| Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified | 1 in 182 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT_COIN | 27.8% | 25 | 24.0 | 1.04× |
| P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · consumer | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 5.3% | 4,322 | 4317.4 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$81.94129 HUNT_COIN293.3x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$81.94129 HUNT_COIN293.3x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertMaltael$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$46.6773.51 HUNT_COIN167.1x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN67.14x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN67.14x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN67.14x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN67.14x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$0.280.44 HUNT_COIN$18.7629.54 HUNT_COIN67.14x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.54%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.28 | 85.54% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.8%covert 0.1%rare 0.2%consumer 99.0%best hit $81.94 (293.3x)