Greens Problem
A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$486.50
766 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
190.69%
24 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 24 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$486766 HUNT_COIN$15K23,625 HUNT_COIN30.83x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$486766 HUNT_COIN$6,38910,062 HUNT_COIN13.13x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$486766 HUNT_COIN$15K23,625 HUNT_COIN30.83x
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · RestrictedDameTime$486766 HUNT_COIN$208328 HUNT_COIN0.43x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$486766 HUNT_COIN$8.0412.67 HUNT_COIN0.02x
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted$486766 HUNT_COIN$208328 HUNT_COIN0.43x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $15K (30.83x)