3v3 Profit Maker
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.20
0.32 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.77%
EV $0.18 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.42%
2,786 openings, odds method
Variance
11.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 40
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,786 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 100 | $4.33 6.82 HUNT_COIN | 24.0% | 29 | 27.9 | 1.04× |
| Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 67 | $3.61 5.69 HUNT_COIN | 30.0% | 46 | 41.8 | 1.10× |
| AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted | 1 in 67 | $2.81 4.42 HUNT_COIN | 23.3% | 37 | 41.8 | 0.89× |
| StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec | 1 in 20 | $0.58 0.92 HUNT_COIN | 16.2% | 144 | 139.3 | 1.03× |
| Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker | 91.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 6.4% | 2,530 | 2535.3 | 1.00× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.20 | 88.77% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 4.0%milspec 5.0%other 91.0%best hit —