Blue Steel
A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$55.54
87.47 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.99%
EV $48.31 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.88%
33 openings, odds method
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 33 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · gold | 1 in 2,000 | $2,179 3,432 HUNT_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Karambit | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 2,000 | $1,778 2,800 HUNT_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $979 1,542 HUNT_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · gold | 1 in 500 | $470 740 HUNT_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 400 | $467 735 HUNT_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 286 | $313 493 HUNT_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 25 | $263 414 HUNT_COIN | 21.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 10.0% | $209 330 HUNT_COIN | 43.4% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 10.0% | $106 168 HUNT_COIN | 22.0% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.82× |
| XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon | 75.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 22 | 24.8 | 0.89× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
XM1014 | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommondwiauhdas$55.5487.47 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covertfine shi$55.5487.47 HUNT_COIN$209330 HUNT_COIN3.77x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $55.54 | 86.99% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.3%covert 14.8%Covert 10.0%uncommon 75.0%best hit —