Go big or go home

A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.05
6.38 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
121.57%
447 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
141 openings · below min
30 days
447 openings · below min
since tracking started
447 openings · below min
21.5%106.7%192.0%

Small sample. 447 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d14187.35%±65.0—sample
30d447121.57%±69.5—sample
All447121.57%±69.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$550866 HUNT_COIN135.8x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | NAF (Gold)stickerDiabloPhD$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$51.3980.94 HUNT_COIN12.69x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)stickerDiabloPhD$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Sticker | NAF (Gold)sticker$4.056.38 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $550 (135.8x)