1% BANGER

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$0.39

0.61 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

87.76%

EV $0.34 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d

102.24%

667 openings, odds method

Variance

163.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 400

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

99.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

38 openings · below min

7 days

571 openings · below min

30 days

667 openings · below min

since tracking started

667 openings · below min

-0.5%205.3%411.0%

Small sample. 667 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	38	3.28%±407.0	—	odds
7d	571	45.76%±105.0	—	odds
30d	667	102.24%±97.1	—	odds
All	667	102.24%±97.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 667 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife	1 in 2,000	$162 255 HUNT_COIN	23.8%	1	0.3	—
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$96.95 153 HUNT_COIN	14.3%	0	0.3	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$61.11 96.25 HUNT_COIN	9.0%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,000	$54.17 85.32 HUNT_COIN	15.9%	0	0.7	—
Souvenir FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,000	$32.81 51.68 HUNT_COIN	9.7%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 667	$17.09 26.91 HUNT_COIN	7.5%	0	1.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon	1 in 200	$10.97 17.27 HUNT_COIN	16.1%	3	3.3	0.90×
Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade	99.0%	$0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN	3.7%	662	660.3	1.00×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$0.390.61 HUNT_COIN$162255 HUNT_COIN417.5x7d

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$0.390.61 HUNT_COIN$61.1196.25 HUNT_COIN157.8x4d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.390.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x14h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Gradewavxx123$0.390.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x14h

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.390.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.03x15h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.76%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$0.39	87.76%	8

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert knife 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%Classified 0.1%Legendary 0.1%Mythical 0.1%uncommon 0.5%Consumer Grade 99.0%best hit $162 (417.5x)