CoodylowOBNe
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.09
0.14 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.91%
EV $0.08 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.04%
1,828 openings, odds method
Variance
9.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,828 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6 | 1 in 800 | $5.63 8.87 HUNT_COIN | 9.1% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.75× |
| USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 800 | $4.12 6.49 HUNT_COIN | 6.7% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.88× |
| Sticker | Bomb Codesticker · High Grade | 1 in 57 | $0.76 1.19 HUNT_COIN | 17.1% | 34 | 32.0 | 1.06× |
| Sticker | KEi (Holo)sticker | 1 in 40 | $0.43 0.68 HUNT_COIN | 14.0% | 41 | 45.7 | 0.90× |
| AK-47 | Olive Polycam (Well-Worn)weapon · #5e98d9 | 1 in 18 | $0.15 0.23 HUNT_COIN | 10.4% | 104 | 100.5 | 1.03× |
| M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 14.8% | 291 | 274.2 | 1.06× |
| Sticker | OG (Glitter)sticker | 15.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT_COIN | 14.8% | 290 | 274.2 | 1.06× |
| Sticker | TV On Miragesticker · high | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT_COIN | 6.6% | 321 | 365.6 | 0.88× |
| Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 6.6% | 741 | 731.2 | 1.01× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.14x
M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade$0.090.14 HUNT_COIN$0.080.12 HUNT_COIN0.86x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.09 | 86.91% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#d32ee6 0.1%classified 0.1%High Grade 1.8%other 17.5%#5e98d9 5.5%Industrial Grade 15.0%high 20.0%Consumer Grade 40.0%best hit —